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Maybe you are a good trader or trade with idiots ;) This is the common price on Outpost still, if you take out the High- and Lowballers (so 70% of the people, and the highballers want even more for this, like 2.33 ^^). I gonna say "no" on this one.
So you are saying that outpost sellers have little influence on prices because most, if not all are highballs? I sold about 3 of the jags at 1.88 refined relatively with ease (Taking no more than 3 days for each). This price suggestion was just my unbiased feedback based on what I sold it on, so I don't think it's far from the actual price...
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/3603219 - just one example of my past sales