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I actually bought one not long ago with 1.66ref, lucky? 2ref is fine.
A quick outpost search gave me several examples:
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/3582369 (sold for 1 key)
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/4066120 (selling for 2.33 refined)
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/3852377 (2.33 offer, rejected)
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/3918419 (1 key, 5 day old donator trade)
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/4042422 (offer of brimstone + 2 reclaimed for key)
Couldn't find enough evidence to disprove this new suggestion as a baseline, so I'll upvote it. Should be taken into account though that 15 pages of sellers are currently on outpost, and sellers asking for a key are relatively slow to sell.
@Hand - I could be wrong, but isnt it more the responsibility to prove the need for a change, as opposed to disproving the suggestion?
I'm not suggesting raising it to a key. I'm suggesting raising it to 2.33. Selling it for 1 Key is fine if you want to squeeze out as much profit as possible. 2.33 would be a more reasonable price given how few there are asking for 2.33 compared to the people asking for 1 key - 3 ref. 2 Ref would be a good quicksell price.
@Yuck fair point, I usually approach price suggestions like theories: They can only be disproven. When I make suggestions I want people to try and disprove them, rather than just go along with my suggestion. It's up to me to support my claim, not others. Sorry if it's seen as a bad thing...
I think this is accurate, I can consistently sell them for a key or 1:1 them with items such as teddy roosebelts, villains veils, rogue col roules, ornament armaments, etc.
really? it's come to 2 refined now? still remember when it was 3.33 refined on the spread...
I can easily sell one for 2.33