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Please add some proof to your suggestion. I agree that this is about where the price is at, but I'd need evidence before I can officially vote for it.
i bought genuine for 3 refined
It Costs 0.44 To Have A 1 In 6 Chance Of Getting Awper.
0.44 x 6 = 2.66.
So 2.55 Is About Right.
Thumbs Up From Me :D
1 key http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/4595356
1 key http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/4595302
1 key http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/4578105
2 refined http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/4591989