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none of your links shows even one sold for 5 keys, there are some sold for 4 keys, and if you did more research you can also see the ones sold at 3 keys, I bought 2 last week at 3 keys including a painted one, so I think current price is fine
My outpost trade for the BaF one, sold for 5 keys 1.33 ref, will make a screenshot of trade history if absolutely necessary.
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/5163639
And I went through every single non painted doublecross-comm trade on outpost, no one is selling for 3 keys.. Lowest bids start at 4 keys and the buyouts are all about 5-6 keys
3-4 keys is fine, most of your tf2outpost threads also link to it being sold at 4 keys and at most 4.5, I also sold one of these about 3-4 days ago, and finding people who were willing to buy for 4 keys was hard enough, so I disagree
I found another buyer within a couple of hours for 4 keys... And in one of the links there are about 7 people who jumped at the opportunity to buy at 4 keys. People just don't sell for 3 keys anymore, so it is not even offered. I put up my trade and te first offer I got was for 4 keys.
Case number 1:
http://imgur.com/hW1nX
Sold a normal doublecross-comm for 5 keys today.
Number 2:
http://imgur.com/qoran
Sold a normal doublecross-comm for 5 keys worth of items yesterday.
Number 3:
http://imgur.com/zIqsX
Sold a painted doublecross-comm for 5.5 keys 2 days ago.
Is this enough..?
All of the doublecross comms asking for 4 keys on outpost:
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/5235430- Sold
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/4987186- Sold
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/5268836- Sold
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/5269482- The one and only doublecross comm still around for 4 keys on outpost right now.
It seems to sell very easily at 4 keys.
http://www.tf2outpost.com/search/40826417/1- Staggering number of people trying to buy at 3 keys
Finally, simply looking at supply, it's on the short side. Lots of low craft numbers, high quality painted hats, and sold items- leaving standard doublecross-comms a bit harder to find.
This strikes me as more accurate than the previous price point. 4 keys is certainly not the high point of a range, it sells far too easily for that.