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...and most of them have very large stocks. 2 keys seems to be the standard selling price (and is being achieved) so it being the higher range is reasonable. People on the Outpost are offering usually 1 key + 1 rec but we all know how much those people lowball. It took me less than 10 minutes to get the paint for 1.5.
way too high
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/5380115 - 1.5keys
^ Those got taken fairly quickly, so you can see that's the buying price
The lowest asking price on the seller side is 1 key + 2 ref. There's a decent handful of them, though you can still see people successfully selling at 2 keys- demand is still huge right now.
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/5381639
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/5371260
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/5381045
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/5384539
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/5376989
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/5368057
On the wishlist side, there's a ton of people asking to do 2.66-3 refined and a handful of auto-bumpers stuck offering 2 keys/5 refined from before the sale, but sifting through all that, it's not hard to find trades ranging from 1 key + 1 ref to 1 key + 1.33 ref.
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/5250467
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/5358728
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/5385408
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/5384260
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/5379045
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/5360452
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/5384656
So yes, I would call this very accurate.