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I bought mine for 4 keys 1 ref within an hour of putting the trade up. There is getting more of them every day so the price is going to keep going down.
also, because it will always be able to drop due to MvM, crates which had strange knives will stop dropping so stock knives will be the minority eventually
I have one, trying to sell it for WEEKS for 5 keys. People don't want even to swap it for a lower one + keys. Hell.