Suggestion: An Extraordinary Abundance of Tinge at 3.66–4 ref

Price Suggestion

~2.08 keys

48 votes up

12 votes down

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This suggestion was accepted Thu, 25 Oct 12 22:03:57 +0000 by Elsa Payaso.

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Comments

I've been keeping an eye on the white paint value, there is an insane amount of both sellers and buyers on outpost right now, sellers are asking for 2 keys or more, since the first days of the sale I haven't seen most of them successfully selling at 2 keys, they just get ignored, buyers are offering around 2.66/3 ref, oddly enough it seems like the ones buying at 1 key are being more successful that the ones buying at 3 ref, I guess when sellers look for a buyer they just look at the ones with shiny keys and ignore how much the refined ones are offering (just my opinion).

Still even tho buyers are getting paint for 1 key, they are getting it slow enough to think that it has not really hit a 1 key value yet, that's why I'm suggesting 3.66 - 4 ref, instead of the 1.5 - 2 keys range (I'm not seing 2 key sellers going anywhere) it's also good to point out that it's currently overstocked at warehouse at 1.5 keys

here are some examples:

Buying at 1 key + 1 ref -> http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/5520745 (2 bought)

Buying at 1 key -> http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/5430785 (7 bought)

Buying at 1 key -> http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/5490049 (4 bought)

Buying at 1 key -> http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/5523649 (2 bought)

Buying at 1 key -> http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/5476191 (2 bought)

I have only managed to buy one at 3 ref, so I'm amazed at how many people overlocked the 3 ref buyers for the 1 key ones

yeah, i agree, bougth one for a key fast, and painted my headwarmer with it

I never considerer trades like "HURR DUUR BUYING G. HERO'S TAIL 1 REF EACH - 88.755.418 BOUGHT SO FAR HERP DERP!"

In 95% of the cases this is lie.

Now about the price, 4 Ref is a fair high end, and the price will be this for a few weeks (maybe months) after the end of sale.

Upvoted.

I bought 1 for 3 ref ~3 days ago.

I've bought 18 for 3.66 ref. Get added a couple of times every 3 or 4 bumps.

You're a fool is you buy past 1.5 for white* paint. since the sale has got everyone thinking they can make an insane profit. The price will probably sink back to 1.5-2 in about 2-4 weeks, plus christmas triggers a white paint price increase. Of course, me saying this might trigger impulse buying and will make the price stag for longer.

@Daraash when I've wrote (X bought) is because I've checked one by one that they had the same amount of paint the claimed to have, I've found others that did not had paint in their backpacks nor white painted items so I didn't post those trade links.

I personally believe that there is so much supply now that if the sale goes on for another week price could even drop to1 key flat, but I don't think it's there yet, so I didn't suggested such a big change, I'm happy to see we all seem to agree about this range tho