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The first link is only 3 hours old. I'm not sure if this is quite valid yet, I remain undecided until you provide any more proof.
not really.. you can look at the history posts of this guy and you can see the same hat and again, without any interest: http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/5521077
That link you posted in the comment is 8 hours old. Not enough time to get offers, especially for an unusual.
http://www.tf2pricecheck.net/Thread-PC-Nuts-n-Bolts-Birdcage
^^ your absolutly proved my point :)
First link seems to have sold without much hassle, which says "qucksale price" to me.
Your first link sold within a day at 20 keys. This isn't that much of a price change so the community can have this one.