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Addendum on example #5: look for GodlyEskimo's post.
Be careful, two of them are months old, but i guess there is enough info to make it go up.
Stickier situation with those two, but chances are the submitters of those trades have kept their asking prices updated over time and someone finally bit.
Upvoted though I don't like the 3.77.
Range seems to be higher, 3.66-4 perhaps. Anyways yours is closer than current one,
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/3926842
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/5727595