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It's ugly and collector only, so even if it has high value due to base $ value and rarity, it doesn't make it a high market price. So I doubt suggesting price on this kind of item has any meaning.
So instead of suggesting a price at all the value it is listed at should be unchanged for time immemorial?
If you check the guy's backpack, I think they settled on 36 keys.
nvm.
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/5995694 $45 (About 38 keys)
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/5996554 $60 minus value of S.Sapper (About 35 keys)
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/6083945 35 keys straight up
Though there aren't a lot of these, there isn't much demand either. That said, 30 keys is a bit low. I'd say 35 keys is where this should be at.
I'll accept this price since it's much more accurate that the current 46 keys.