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In link 3 the owner had the trade up for a week with the best offer being a bud and sweets. Link 4 has a b/o of 2 buds, also the best offer is a bud and sweets.
if you down vote my suggestion, for future reference i would like to know what i failed to prove.
sorry for commenting on my own thing a lot, but switch this with link 1 http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/6208074
Looks good to me. New-ish hat but the hype's gone down and people tend to prefer Scout's older hats instead.
It's hard to say for sure without more info, but they are below 2 buds. I expect they'll bottom out around 1.5 just because of the effect, the hat is crap.