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Now granted there aren't a ton of these listed much below 4 ref, but there are plenty at 1key + 1ref which is about 3.77. If you put up a trade asking for a pair it seems like it wont take long to get one for below 4 so I think the price needed an update.
Here's my trade and transaction:
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/6416773
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/6462470
http://awesomescreenshot.com/093n28v01
That's a large range. 3-4 ref or maybe even 3.33-4 ref would be a much better suggestion.
Well there's quite a range of selling on outpost. There trades asking for 2 keys and getting it on occasion. I was originally going to suggest 3-4 ref but 3-4.22 put the actually value right at 3.61 which I think is pretty reasonable, easy to buy and easy to sell at that price.
I have to agree with him, 3.33-4 is a nicer range and puts 3.66 in the middle too. Also there are always some deals outside the range like quicksells.
I can buy these for 1 key easy & I done this many times this thing is cancerous upvote