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Brace yourselves, gentlemen. Wanna see a sample of all the Festive Miniguns on sale for 3 keys with no customers? Here you go!
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/6491041
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/5740283
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/6468363
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/6236238
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/6539887
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/6540420
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/6424829
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/6007777
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/6540429
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/6540445
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/6368609
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/6459439
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/6523274
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/6242203
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/6551206
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/6396538
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/6015270
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/6343722
Wanna see people selling for less than 3 keys and STILL not getting sales? I can do that too! (Sorta hard to spot them, though)
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/6466061 (2 keys)
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/6317626 (2 keys + 2.33)
Very few people get business for 3 keys. It really just involves luck. Here are the only 3 trades I found with buyers that I had the patience to find. I say that because the pages on the outpost move very fast since there are SWARMS of these festive trades up.
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/6447874
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/6539959 (Same person as that previous one, so it might actually be the same minigun)
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/6074075 (The buyer is hidden in the first comment. It's actually 5 days ago, according to the seller)
Conclusion: The market is seriously overinflated and demand is practically non-existent. We're gonna need a smaller ship.
Amazing evedence good setup = upvote
That was a lot of links. Good job!
Do you happen to have anything that isn't from outpost though?
Just so you know i upvoted this, very convincing.
Just a random question: Anyone know why festives are going down? What do you think is going to happen once christmas hits?
Probably going down due to over-anticipation.
People were buying them "cheap before the rush", but this "cheap before the rush" period hasn't ended yet... and its nearly Christmas.
It's still not nearly christmas....
black friday does not = near xmas
It's 1 month before christmas, which is pretty close.
2 weeks i'd give it to ya. 30 days away is an eternity on this market
well I'm trying to keep people's hopes up after thanksgiving
My question is, where do you see it go for 2 keys? 1 instance is not really doing it for me
Not saying that i couldn't reasonably assume that it doesnt get sold for 3 keys all the time, but doesn't seem like people are letting it go for 2 keys normally
Furthermore, not sure how much of a trader the 2 key link is...looks like he took "strange scatter gun & beggars bazooka & tomislav for my festive knife"
Downvote for me... Tighten up the range and it would do... 2.5-3 i thnk would be fine
So far I've based the 2 key bottom price on the massive supply and lack of demand. I was initially going to see it as 2.5, but the two for below 3 made me sway.
I will, however, dive back into the pile of filth the whole festive business turned into and see if I can find anything else to back either the current 2 key bottom or a possible remake with a 2.5 key bottom.
Gonna grab some OJ or coffee first, though. It's going to be... tiring, to say the least.
TBH... think starting with 2.5 would be fine... another couple days, people will panic and a lot more will open up at 2 i would think
I do not envy you xD
You have every reason not to envy my self-destructive research plan.
I gave up 15 minutes in because I was starting to torture myself. Pretty much every trade I click on tends to be "Selling this rare festive set for buds!" or yet another seller for 3 keys with no biters.
I fear that extended swimming in this pool of grime will drive me insane. :c I'll leave it to the admins to see whether they think this price is fine or not. I'll stand by it for now.
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/6458419 (2 keys)
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/6152977 (2 keys)
Unsold
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/5867249 (2.5 keys)
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/6379871 (2 keys 2.44 ref)
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/6495299 (3 keys)
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/6557547 (3 keys)
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/6242203 (3 keys)
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/6533090 (3 keys)
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/6554012 (3 keys)
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/6541087 (3 keys)
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/6539887 (3 keys)
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/6296372 (3 keys)
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/5418507 (3 keys)
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/6336955 (3 keys)
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/6540420 (3 keys)
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/6459439 (3 keys)
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/6523274 (3 keys)
Just needed to offload my shitload of proof when I was going to suggest the same thing but you beat me to it. Well, as we can see here, it goes unsold at 2.5 keys even.
The two key availability is gone.... would say that 2 keys is a little too easy of a sell(quicksell)
Oh my. Thank you very much.
I was actually wondering why you missed this, since I realized you updated most of the other festives, but not this one. Sorry about that.
This suggestion's proof level: [url]http://weknowmemes.com/wp-content/uploads/2011/12/mother-of-god-meme.jpg[/url]
I'm still going to assume that they're going to be price fixed back up; a lot of people are too stubborn to even sell them for anything under three keys. Better stay neutral on this one.
I had an evidence-gasm. O.O
Recent agreements to sell for 2-2.5 keys
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/4389322 (2 keys accepted, 4 days ago)
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/6401166 (2 keys accepted, 2 days ago)
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/4984647 (2.5 keys, 1-2 days ago)
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/5943744 (2 keys +1 ref, 1 week ago)
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/5943744 (2 keys + 1 ref, today)
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/6467035 (2.5 keys, buyer rejected, yesterday)
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/4711162 (2 keys, 5 days ago)
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/4711162 (2 keys, 3 days ago)
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/4711162 (2 keys, 2 days ago)
Look at the most recent comments to see the offers I am referring to. Some trades had more than one sale, so I repeated the same link.
Thank you very much for posting these. I guess I should've done more work on my end instead of having people having to back up a lower end I didn't have reinforcements for in the first place. :x
Not necessary fora price update on this festive, because putting it at 2 keys is just too easy for lowballers to get the steal. Keep it at 3 keys plz. Downvoted, sorry
Not a good reason to downvote
Large amounts of evidence, good formatting, no reason not to upvote.
lol no links to support suggestion? Easy downvote. Hear this HOLIDAYS IS COMING bullshit too much.
lrn2read.
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