Suggestion: Festive Winter Crate #6 at 14–18 keys

Best current offer is a Bills, but it was rejected. The only other offer, apparently, was 90 ref that was taken back. With this being a 5 month old trade, who knows how long ago it was retracted.

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/1735790

Age: 6 months

No real standing offers so far. That current one of 40 keys has been there since this trade started, apparently. It's either retracted, a fake to keep away lowballers, or made by the slowest TF2 trader ever.

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/6600367

Age: Around a day or so

Youngest trade in this list by far. An offer of a Pink Bills so far, but still nowhere close to the sought after Earbuds yet.

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/6178160

Age: 2 weeks

A relatively large amount of activity. Here're the offers in succession:

1) White Bills

2) White Bills + 2 keys

3) White Bills + 3 keys

4) White Bills + 4 keys

5) 14 keys

There's an offer of 15 keys on the table, but not sure if it's someone that just wants to buy it or someone that wants to put down an offer.

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/6513898

Age: 3 days

Highest semi-offer is 16 keys. Rejected. The fish haven't been biting.

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/4945493

Age: 1 month

More action! An Earbud has finally been exchanged!

...

For 2 crates. 2 of these crates which supposedly have a price of one earbud each traded for a lone bud.

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/6122211

Age: 2 weeks

No offers so far. Then again, it looks like the seller is looking for actual money instead of TF2 economy stuffies, so it might just be useless as proof.

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/2766541

Age: 4 months

No real offers. There is, however, some friendly trader talk suggesting that the current 1 Earbud price might've been outdated at least a month ago. Someone was offering to sell 3 of their crates for 2 buds. The original seller seems to have turned it down.

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/5994050

Age: Around 3 weeks or so

Best offer is a BMOC that was there since around the time the trade began. Still stands without anyone trying to outdo it.

Conclusion: The current price may have been outdated a month ago. That 23 keys offer is once-in-a-blue-moon and the seller should definitely take it now. Going by the current offers and how much people are willing to shell out for these crates, the price is gonna have to be slashed. Big time. Sorry, collectors. Nothing personal. I'm leaving a 4 key price gap since the price on it isn't exactly the most stable thing around.

How do you have time to do other things in your life?

I only sleep for 5 hours tops. >_>

I'm also usually out until 7-9 PM. Most of my "extensive" suggestions are when I'm bored and free in the early morning.

Good god, did you apply to be a community guide because it seems you know how to do your homework proof-wise.

Nah. I was thinking of it, but I don't think I'm ready or experienced enough yet for something of that caliber. Looking at some of the applications and seeing how well-qualified some other people are also intimidated me a bit.

>[URL]http://bazaar.tf/trade/59139[/URL]

>Age: ...At least a day? Iunno. Bazaar has a bad timer.

>No offers at all so far.

What an amazing way to shark two crate with two stranges.

He got 2 from [URL]http://www.tf2outpost.com/backpack/76561197996662623[/URL]

And has been doing for quite a while

[URL]http://www.tf2outpost.com/backpack/76561198061393012[/URL]

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As a comparison,

there are 1500 Strange Festive Scattergun,

but 4000 Festive Winter Crate.

Not sure who would pay 27 Keys for this crate.

14-18 may not be the best suggestion, but it is definitely more accurate than present price.

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Also,

>[URL]http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/6478312[/URL]

Is the same guy who suggested the current price of 1 Buds, 3 months ago.

[URL]http://backpack.tf/vote/id/504f652d9ae21a5c3a000000[/URL]

As you stated in your huge pile of proof, there are offers of at least 18 keys.

It shows that people will still pay a decent amount for these, and the reason that some offers aren't "1-uped" is that there is a relatively small market for discontinued crates in general, so it isn't often that a good offer is posted.

I do think these things are due for a lowering, but I think 14-18 is pushing it a bit too low.

I'll do a little research myself and have a report back and my upvote/downvote decision. Good suggestion and proof, btw, I'm impressed.

These haven't sold anywhere near a bud for months, from what I've seen. Seems accurate to me, and with a huge amount of good proof too.

easy upvote, very well done suggestion

Upvote. No one wants to buy it with 1 bud. It even disappears after trading.

(It happened to me with my alt. account)

Good job, mate. :)

Why did it disappear? Did you enter the game?

No, it just disappears on its own sometimes, which is what it is supposed to do always.

Sorry, but they are really rare (just 1000 in stock), downvote