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link # 1
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http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/6230267
^^ It sold for Bubbles Fukaamigasa (20-26~) + clean TC (2 keys)
so around 22-24 keys if going thru the middle of bubbling Fukaamigasa
Link #2
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http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/5751030 ( Still onmarket month old)
^^ look at bottom and the trade owner acctually says he wants ~22 keys +/-
Link # 3 This is an owner and will be very important
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http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/6485291
He has this hat on multiple chanegs each time lowering the price.
He really wants to get rid of it the one above is him asking for 20 keys
He then drops it to quick sell price http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/6516573 1 painted bills + 6 keys and then it sells
Showing you that ti was hard to sell for much lower then current range
This was 5 days ago
Link # 3
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http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/6599757
^^ this guy bought the hat that was shown in the above link
In his trade it seems he just wants to take any offer over 20 keys
Offers are still low but its only 3 days old
Link # 4
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http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/6280143
^^First Comment
Smoking Chieften 1.2-1.5 buds
So those hats he got were at like super cheap and that trade in fact happened
Heres the history of chieften to see http://www.tf2outpost.com/user/6442
Just compare to the two hats in the trade (click on it, to see history in case you didnt know)
Link #5
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http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/6544455
^^ Selling for 1 bud
Apperently one guy said he'll do it. But i dont trust it as the offerer has no trades on outpost and his backpack is private
Summary
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Its pretty obvious its not fetching more then a bud anymore.
The hat sold for ~22-24 keys
The hat is hard to get rid off you can have it up for ever and not get what you want even if all you want is ~ 22 keys
This hat gets sold for a lot less and offers are just as low
The sellers right now only want a little over 20 keys
The low is from the sellers only wanting ~20 keys + so it fits and because offers are really low on this hat
Im keeping high at 26 keys because that guy who wants 28 keys even tho he hasnt gotten it and even tho the offer is sketchy was probably a troll it might be possible (Dont think so)
so im keeping it close to 1 bud
good price, good proof. UP VOTE.