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I've tried to buy one for 2.66. The trade was up for around a week till I got it. I don't think it's inpossible to get one but it takes time. A range more suitable would be 1 key to 1.5 keys. Feel free to reply your thoughts :D
By the way, I upvoted...
1 Key - 1.5 Keys is way too much. With the price of Keys, that's the same as 2.88-4.33
erm... then 1 key to 1.25? :d
I have tried this in past...getting one for 2.66 is really really tough. 3 ref is what you would find for
Even at 3 Ref it's becoming difficult to BUY. People are slowly migrating to the 3.33 range and some people (like myself) have prematurely jumped to the 3.66-4
There is a demand for gift wrap, so I'll agree on this. Upvote though some of your evidence seems to be lacking o.O
When it comes to Tools like the Gift Wrap that there are such a large abundance for, it's hard to really get pricing evidence. There could be some noob that comes into the market with 15 previously purchased Gift Wraps and sells them for the 2.66 Ref each. When I was looking for evidence, I tried to finagle around the extremely recent posts.
The evidence is too recent, I have to say :D There's not much activity, and the rest are quite old, but some of your links have good proof in them. Here's more anyways:
Confirmed:
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/6726998 (6 apparently sold at 2.88)
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/5058057 (At least 1 Buyer at the bottom for 1 Key + 1.33)
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/6644045 (Sold for 1 Key 2 Scrap, ~3 refined++)
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/6608929 (Less than a week old, offer of 3 refined)
Pending:
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/6722536 (3 Refined)
I have to agree I put mine up yesturday for 2.66
Got 2 adds in seconds of posting wanting to buy.
And I closed it with it having only 2 views.
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/6726998
Downvote for now
Now find 3 more like that and it's be sufficient proof
Like I said for now, odds are I will be undecided or upvoting this.
I was just lucky to refresh and see this
Like I said above, with an item like the Gift Wrap where there is such a large population on the market, it is very easy to find ignorant people posting day by day selling for around 2.66 Ref. I believe the only reason the 2.88 wasn't as quick to go was because it isn't the bottom range that Spreadsheet suggests.
I changed my downvote to neutral, not sure how to feel about this one but I did get the comment when I was selling for 3 ref "You are the best deal on outpost, everyone else is selling for more"
Down vote.
I had 5 of these not long ago, Selling them at a key + 1 scrap has sold them fast
A considerable change is to 3 ref alone, not a 3-3.33 range.
If they sold fast at 2.88-3.11 wouldn't that make you think you could have gotten more?
Exactly.
Oh yes, I forgot to add.
I did try selling them for 1 key and 1 rec. after 2 days only one sold.
Why are these rising in price? Is this finally an example of something that really is increasing because "Christmas is coming"? ;D
Here are some people trying to buy it for more than 2.66 (the low end of the current range). When buyers start posting these kinds of trade offers, it's very strong evidence that the price is rising, IMHO.
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/6578002 - buyer offering 2.77
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/6741750 - buyer offering 2.77
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/6720767 - buyer offering 2.77
I checked their backpacks, and they all seem to have found almost nobody willing to sell at this price, BTW.
upvoted
Some more evidence that they're selling for more than 3 ref now
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/6499170 - 1 key + 1 rec (3.22-3.33) several sold during last 7 days
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/6668159 - 3.33, 1 day ago
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/6355690 - 1 key + 1 rec (3.22-3.33)
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/6722536 - 1 key offer apparently rejected by seller
There are still quite a few sellers asking for about 3 ref, so I expect most of the buyers are going to them, while they still have stock.
Yeah, I recently tried to buy EVERY wrap for 3 Ref I could find on Outpost. Most sellers were flat out of stock.
I sold like 20 gift wraps now for 1 key. Its amazing! On outpost, i click on "here" when the raffle has been created and there is already a comment like "added"!
You will find buyers pretty damn quickly at a selling price of 2.66-2.88 (1 Key).
Thats why i upvoted.:D
This guy has his trade up for several hours 1:1 with a key
6 in stock none bought
still fairly easy to buy for 2.66
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/6746221
trying to sell one gift since 4 days for 1 key . . . http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/6642215
I've bought too many at 2.33. Downvote.
the price is very high
Thanks for the brainless comment.
i have found buyers at 3 ref and some at 3.33 ref
Upvote
1:1 key is still quite common, A better range would be 2.77-3.22 or 2.88-3.11.
I still see 1:1 key, key + scrap, key + 2 scrap trades.