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http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/6629820
(6 days ago)
juju-1.66
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/6591109
(1 week ago)
2 refined - Brimstone, Haunted Voodoo Juju
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/6709121
(2 days ago)
Haunted Voodoo JuJu (Slight Return) (Level 8): 2.22 Refined (not sure why level 8 makes a difference)
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/6629982
(6 days ago)
2 ref +1 rec EACH, add me
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/6668202
(4 days ago)
Voodoo JuJu; 2 -2.33 ref
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/6768056
(7 hours ago)
Haunted voodoo juju(slight return)-1.88
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/6541259
(1 week ago)
Voodoo JuJus - 1 key each (current price of a key 2.77-3ref)
This one is 2 weeks old but still
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/6359773
(2 weeks ago)
Voodoo Juju (Slight Return): 1 Key
Good effort on trying to provide proof, but its a little messy.
*Thumbs up
However, its better to provide links to trade that are DONE, which means
- Buyers are willing to pay
- Sellers are willing part
Most are easily located as they are "black out" or changed owner (item id)
Links:
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/6520860 - 2.33, offer 5 days ago, but sold to someone else
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/6621242 - 2.66, sold to cake, post is 6 day
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/6198099 - 2.33, first one to boflond, 1 week
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/6426241 - 2.33, post is 2 weeks
** These can still be sold for current price
Other Findings:
1. The link selling for 1.66 has another trade selling for 1.88 (price ambiguity)
2. With more then 1 person selling for 1.88 (1 scrap lower then min) shows that this items is indeed getting cheaper
My conclusion:
Price has fallen slightly, due to good amount of people selling at mid/bottom of current.
But the fall is not enough to reach 1.66 - 2
When I normally provide proof I usually show the blacked out items, but on this occasion I was trying to show that the trades that are up are unsold for the current prices and lower, showing that there is a need for a drop. The reason I suggested the 1.66 is that the seller is offering it for 1.66 and unsold.
But I really appreciate you going to the trouble to get more information on the subject :) very kind of you instead of some of the normal NEWB DOWNVOTE! lol
Upvoted :/
Trying to sell one for 2 refined since weeks now, no takers ._.
I have a lot of these. I decided to cut the price to 1.66 today, because there is far more supply than demand, and selling for 2 ref is extremely slow
So you might want to watch this trade...
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/6775126
It's a nice hat, but too many people have it, and not enough people want it (more than 400 sellers on TF2OP). Trades are infrequent because it's very overpriced (especially on spreadsheet :/ ), so there are hundreds of people asking 2 ref+ for them, and very few buyers willing to pay so much.
The stagnant market for this item is a perfect example of the harmful effect price guides have on trading when they don't get updated frequently and accurately[/rant]
I expect it's eventually going to fall to 1.33-1.66. Basically, it's a cool craft hat with haunted quality, that's all.
My experience is only from selling many of these (15 over the last 2 weeks), but I'll see if I can find some evidence to post here
Upvoted
There's lots of evidence of sales far below the current range, which shows you how difficult it is to sell these for 2 ref or more
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/6719260 - 1.33 (today)
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/6735059 - 1.33 (yesterday)
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/6540649 - 1.22 (6 days ago)
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/6540649 - 1.22? (5 days ago)
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/5742674 - 1.55 (6 days ago)
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/5742674 - 1.66 (6 days ago)
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/6064951 - 1.11 (2 weeks ago)
http://dispenser.tf/shop_log/1005/ - Here are 2 sales at 2 ref for the other end of the range
and BTW, there's a pricing error at TF2WH which means they are selling this hat for about 1.44 ref - they are still 100% overstocked, despite that :D