Suggestion: The Quäckenbirdt at 1–1.33 ref

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~1.83 ref

240 votes up

188 votes down

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Comments

its a weapon.

Derp.

I feel like an idiot right now... I need to go sleep

Down vote

Please provide proof of them being sold for 1-1.33 ref.

[url]http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/6866710[/url] - Sold for 2 Ref

[url]http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/6866840[/url] - Sold for 1.55 Ref

[url]http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/6735357[/url] - Sold for 1.66 Ref

[url]http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/6880527[/url] - Sold for 1 Ref

Seems like I'm not voting up or down though I'd be more inclined to vote it down. Every day, more and more come into existence. Just wait. Sellers will be itching to sell them for .66 Ref in a matter of a week or two.

Also, you're welcome for doing some digging for you.

The craft cost for this is 1.22 ref, anyone selling below that isn't very good at mathematics.

1 Scrap (2 weapons) + PDA2 slot (3 watches) + Spy (3 weapons) = Watch (8 weapons)

3 attempts (33% chance) = 3 x 8 weapons = 24

Minus 2 for the unwanted outcomes (recycle them into more pda2's or a scrap) = 22 weapons / 11 scrap / 1.22 refined to produce each one on average.

But blah blah blah Wanga Prick is worthless.

1 Scrap (2 weapons) + Knife slot (3 melee) + Spy (3 weapons) = Knife (8 weapons)

6 outcomes ( 6 x 8 weapons) = 48 weapons

24 scrap / 2.66 refined to produce all 6 outcomes.

2.66 - 0.22 ( 4 non craft-only weapons) = 2.44

2.44 - 0.33 (backpack.tf wanga prick price) = 2.11

2.11 refined = 6th outcome Sharp dresser (backpack.tf price 2 - 2.33) = craft results sell price is still equal craft costs even after a year.

Both the other watches are achievement watches, no one will be trying to craft them using this recipe, You would need 3 - 4 of one watch to try and craft the other too.

Only way this is going under 1 Refined is if a 4th craft only watch is released, and every one gets unwanted quacks trying to craft it.

That one that was sold for 1 Ref was uncraftable too

Downvote

Don't shoot the messenger. I was just showing some examples of sales that the OP failed to post. I agree with you and also downvoted =p

isnt uncraftable becoming better-same tier as craftable now that mann co changed it?

yes, another wanga prick. It always was obvious

I can see that the prices will drop eventually but not past the 1.33 mark.

Due to the fact these can be crafted in the same manner as a craft hat and have potential for further crafting in the future, I would predict the minimum price of 1.33 will be the final price, which coincides with all craftable hats.

Although I do not see any evidence of 1.33, the cheapest I have seen on outpost by a buyer and a seller is 2 refined.

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/6802021-Buyer

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/6893607- Seller