Should probably also mention that since the last price suggestion went up, people have duped both this and the burning modest. I think there's still demand for the hat, but I don't think that demand extends to the 20 bud range.

EDIT: The second trade (http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/5198935) does not say where he got his 18-bud CO from, but it certainly was not from that thread.

For the record, CaptainSwag has had a Beams Modest on the market for a month. He had two offers, one of two HOUWARS (which was seemingly immediately retracted after he accepted it) and a 16-bud offer which was retracted because the buyer found another one that he bought immediately for 16 buds. I don't think one offer that was ultimately retracted is enough to reflect what this hat is actually worth.