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I just think you're going to struggle to sell at 13 keys. This item appears to be settling around 12 keys, and some sellers are straight out aiming for that mark. I mean, who's going to buy a mackerel at 13 keys when they could have it for 12?
Trades at 12 or 12.5 keys:
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/6926206 - Sold for 12 keys
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/6640056 - C/O of 5 bp expanders (12 - 12.5 keys)
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/6947615 - Selling at 12 keys
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/6849312 - Offer of 12 keys (owner hasn't been online)
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/6940906 - Selling for 12 keys
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/6825459 - C/O of 12 keys + 1 ref
Unsold for 13 or 14 keys:
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/6909791 - Selling for 13 keys
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/6933077 - Selling for 13 keys
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/6924946 - Selling for 13 keys
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/6945151 - Unsold for 14 keys
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/6868470 - Unsold for 14 keys
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/6931704 - Unsold for 14 keys
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/6902568 - Unsold for 14 keys
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/6746878 - Unsold for 14 keys
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/6838601 - Unsold for 14 keys
12 - 12.5 is a much better representation of the majority of trades occurring at the moment. 13 is an outside possibility, and does not deserve to be included in the price range, in my opinion. I've looked at the evidence, and I honestly can't see 13 keys as an effective price moving forward into the future.
And for once guys, don't be mystery down voters. On almost all my suggestions there are ~5 people who down vote without posting a comment. If you have a valid reason why this shouldn't go through, tell me! Others can follow your lead - if you're right.
Let me know what you think :D
They downvote because they don't want their backpack value to go down.
tf2wh is buying at 13 keys and stocks are 40%
http://www.tf2wh.com/item.php?id=221;11;8fb6fd7b63737458299c936b4d489d26
downvote
That proves that people are willing to sell at 13 keys...
There's not much evidence that people are willing to buy for that much.
NOTE: I'm not saying that no-one has bought one for that price, but it's only an idiot who pays 13 keys when they could buy for 12.
But you only get enough credits to buy just under 12 keys so your point is invalid.
Actually, WH is SELLING at 13 keys. They're buying at roughly 130,000 credits (or 11.8431818182 keys exactly).
So about 12 keys...
Yup.
I had one long ago, they were very hard to sell
/upvote
Rule: Only submit a new price for this item if any existing open suggestions are not acceptable (above 5% difference).
(0.25 x 100) / 12.5 = 2%
I know I'm the only one who cares but I might as well mention it.
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/6900303 lol, people want to pay 15 keys in items for it, downvote
Ah yes. A single trade will completely usurp a mountain of proof for the other case. Outliers don't count here, people aren't consistently paying more than the range suggested.