Suggestion: Strange Festive Grenade Launcher at 15–19 keys

Price Suggestion

~9.3 keys

173 votes up

46 votes down

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This suggestion was accepted Tue, 25 Dec 12 18:52:34 +0000 by Elsa Payaso.

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Comments

There may be some trades outside my suggested range but my conclusion is that they are outliers and I didn't want to make the range too big.

C/O White Bills + 5 keys

C/O 15 keys, B/O 2 different painted bills

B/O 20 keys

C/O 15 keys + 6 ref Not sure if it's valid~

B/O Bills + 7 keys

B/O SF Grenade + SF Mackerel for 1 Bud

Item offers of ~15 keys

B/O 20 keys

C/O 16 keys C/O not longer valid

Would have accepted 16.5 keys

B/O of 15 keys and C/O of 14

C/O of 2 Bills or 15 keys + 6 ref

C/O of bmoc + crate #40

I'm done now, search for your own.

PS: For those who may ask why I put 19 keys in the range. Well It's very hard to find any sales at all becaues nearly every high offer will be accepted and the trade will be closed, so you can't find it on op with the normal search. But you can find some offers in items that are even higher (last link) or unusual offers that should give you a hint that it can get better deals.

For my trade (the 16 key C/O) the 16 key offer was offered twice by 2 differnet people and retracted both times because they bought from somewhere else.

Ah good to know, so technically it's not longer a c/o.

finally, someone who understands the notion that higher offers always fall off the search and don't show up in "evidence"

i paid more than 22 for mine and thought i was getting a steal. lol :\

in other news...according to stats, even though outpost appears to be saturated with these, the total number of these new strange festives is pretty damn low as of now.

the stats linked from this site aren't updated yet, but they are here: http://tf2stats.net/weapons/

if you take a look at the totals on the new festives (stranges aren't distinguished from the regular) you'll notice they're still crazy rare right now. it is a good idea you left some upper range on these so that once the feasting dies down the range will still apply.

Actually Brad said that stats is lagging behind some days so I wouldn't care too much about it now.

that's what i meant by the stats here not working. i linked another site that seems to not be lagging.

Oh right, my fault.^^

Looks good. And the evidence is more than sufficent. Nice job on the market research, +1 here.

Well it was not that hard.^^ Acutally I wanted to stay away from festive suggestions but yeah, someone had to do it.

wanted a bud but i sold for 26 keys.

Too many 20 keys B/O. He could have bought it cheaper easily. --> Outlier or a first hour buyer (hehe it rhymes *_*).

Sold mine for a S Huntsman, 1 Naughty key, 1 gen freedom staff and f ubersaw

Fits the range perfectly, thank you for the input. :)

I understand that this is a new item and its appearing alot now cause theres alot of ppl uncrating it. But! I beg to differ.

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/7183550

I feel that this is currently the most highly wanted NEW strange festive.

My b/o is 2 buds!

Offers gotten ranges from 1-1.5 buds!

Idk but i feel it shld be about there! 1-2 buds ranging.

The ppl now are just buying low as twe all know. As soon as the winter crate disappears. The item would never be obtainable again!

Please reply as id like to hear your oinion.

MAYBEEEE the price now might range as u said. But i feel it shld be 1-2 buds ( ormay that be only after the crates disappear?)

I agree that some people would pay higher because it is the most wanted new festive strange. I also agree that this COULD be 1-2 buds after the crate disappears. But for now too few trades happen above 19 keys to put that in the current range.

Well. I respect your mindset. Thanks for not raging though. Take care.

Np. Good luck trading.^^

I sold mine just two days after the event started for 18 keys in total so I agree with this suggestion, haven't seen it go for any higher despite some delusional sellers thinking they can still get 1 bud for it despite supply now building up.