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http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/7338748 (Sold for 7 ref + key + craft hat, ~3.66 keys)
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/7379457 (Sold all 3 for 2 keys within 6ish hours)
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/7323561 (Sold for 2 keys)
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/7389982 (Tons of people trying to buy @ 3 keys)
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/7381956 (Sold for 3 keys)
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/7164015 (Sold for 3 keys each)
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/7192616 (Possibly sold for 1 naughty and nice key + ref)
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/7245256 (Sold for 4 keys ._.)
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/7355481 (Sold 3 for 4 keys each)
It is the most wanted (new) item, thus is has the highest price. Simple as that.
GoodGreat Evidence, UPVOTED! :DBetter than your evidence on the last suggestion. Look and learn. ;)
Good proof, I think this range is better than the current one, upvoted.