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3~4 Buds would be a better range considering that he doesn't get any offers higher than 4.5 Buds.
actually i have to agree, price may drop as more people uncrate them.
Looks like these have changed hands a few times. Anyone know what these may have traded hands for?
Remember that prices should reflect trades, not rejected offers.
ok ill take a look and reply upon this thread :)
WARNING: WALL OF TEXT
Ok i did some research. First of all there is currently 2 of it being sold even though stats.tf shows there only 1 so it seems it haven't been updated yet, checked and its not a dupe. Upon these 2 there is a level (30) and (75)
Lady=Gyal was the first holder of this unusual with a level (30): http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/7353124
He/She started a post with a b/o of 6 buds but than was sold to §§scout on fire jester for 3.33 bud like he offered, we do not know whether there is any negotiation when they are trading but lets assume he bought what he offered
§§scout on fire jester than resell it with a b/o of 6 buds pure at http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/7377533
he got offered by someone at 50 keys which is around 2 buds but was sold to [DSU] The Candyman with a unknown price. The reason why i say unknown and not 6 buds comes to the next post...
[DSU] The Candyman bought it with an "unknown price" and resell it with a b/o of 5 buds at http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/7396604
Candyman is the latest holder of the level (30) Smoking Cold Killer [28/12/2012] and currently have an offer of 3 pure buds. He commented "It's a little low, but I'll just leave this here to ward off lowballers :)"
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Now lets start with the level (75) first holder, granola.inc at http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/7175884
It looks like he sold it for a Max + some sweets for it to T-Virus, well there are other offers but all are lowballing him so ill ignore it.
T-Virus than resell it but instead of a b/o he ask for offer at http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/7178404
It looks like nothing happened here except 1 guy offering his backpack but it was not sold to him and the thread closed unexpectedly...
The Unusual ended up at -hg- AznPenguiin backpack and there is no open trade of the unusual then the Unusual ended back to T-Virus...
T-Virus than repost a new trade with a solid b/o price of 4 buds or 2 max, if offer overpay at http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/7196194
He sold to lObO™, uM VeLho aTEu at the price of Harvest Moon Football Helmet + Genuine Triple A Badge. If we convert and average the price (using backpack.tf pricing) of those two items it worth 2.9 buds
lObO™, uM VeLho aTEu is now the current holder [28/12/2012] and is reselling for offers at http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/7298802
He got an offer at 3 pure buds but hidden the offer so his expecting more...
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So lets sum up:
Level (30)
Lady=Gyal sold for 3.33 bud
§§scout on fire jester sold for ?? (2 buds >)
[DSU] The Candyman is currently selling with offer of 3 buds
Level (75)
granola.inc sold for Max's + Sweets (2 buds >)
T-Virus sold for ???
-hg- AznPenguiin sold for ???
T-Virus sold for Harvest Moon Football Helmet + Genuine Triple A Badge (2.9 buds)
lObO™, uM VeLho aTEu is currently selling with offer of 3 buds
In conclusion, on average is around 2.7 buds - 3.33 buds. but it seems that people are now offering 3 buds atleast and are demanding more comes to conclusion that 3 buds will be the low price and its unable to confirm how much the high price will be but i will estimate it will be around 4~5 buds.
Well done! Thanks for the hard work.