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i got offered an orbiting fire rather festive tree in a trade server for it
Seems they get bud + x keys offers very easily. Also that 1.5 pure offer. I would suggest 1.2-1.6 instead.~
Yeah, this does seem like too heavy a drop.
9 on Outpost: http://www.tf2outpost.com/search/66516915
About half of them are 1 month old or older, none with offers above 1.5 buds. The suggested price might be a bit low, but the current is way too high.