Price Suggestion
~11.89 ref
Genuine Area 451
84 votes up
5 votes down
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Comments

BUYERS/BUYOUT PRICES

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/6180153 - 1 key, sold

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/7563290 - 1 key, no offers

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/7575961 - 3.33 ref, no offers

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/7640435 - 3.66 ref, no offers

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/7515888 - Ball Kicking Boots (1-1.5 keys)

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/7292677 - G. Killer Exclusive (1.5 keys), no offers


UNBOUGHT

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/7533178 - 2 ref

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/6944030 - 2.66 ref, 3 weeks old


SELLERS

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/7595528 - 1 key, though the trade has yet to be completed

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/7153217 - 2 keys, sold, 2 weeks old

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/6153295 - unresponded offer of G. Cross-Comm Express (2 keys) 1 week ago, trade 1 month old

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/6781677 - 3 keys, sold, 2 weeks old


UNSOLD

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/7514363 - 1 key 2 ref

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/7631060 - 2 keys

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/7568217 - 2 keys

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/7624328 - 2 keys

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/7634062 - 2 keys

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/7578725 - 2 keys

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/7556005 - 2 keys

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/7635587 - 2 keys 1 ref

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/7574556 - 2.5 keys


The bottom value seems to have moved downward, as evidenced by the sales. Two Area 451s have been sold for a key, and 3 other buyouts between 1 and 1.5 keys in value have not been taken up. The only buying offers below a key went completely ignored.

There are several pages of sellers trying to get 2 keys for it to no avail. The highest recent existing selling price I could find was for a backpack.tf value of 2 keys, taking place a week ago. The others were at 2 and 3 keys, though they were over 2 weeks old.

I believe it's still possible to sell the item for 2 keys, but it will take a long amount of time to do so. Otherwise it's difficult to establish a maximum as the item has simply fallen out of vogue.

    Sensible proof, upvoted by me.

      A bunch of your "unsold" ones are under a day old, which isn't very good proof, but it really does need to be moved down. Also I dont know why you'd put 2 keys as the top range when your proof suggests 1-1.5 keys. While it IS possible to get it at 2 keys, that "long amount to do so" is considered luck, which is not factored into suggestions. But other than that its pretty good.

        My apologies for not making my proof ideal, you're correct that I should have posted later 2 key Unsolds/Unoffereds. Here are some, time length attached:


        http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/7556005 - 3 days

        http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/7513487 - 4 days

        http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/7435961 - 1 week

        http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/7061483 - 2 weeks

        http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/6991739 - 3 weeks


        With respect to your other point, I went through all 8 pages of selling/buying Area 451 pages (including most backpacks, see link 1 in my first comment), and the three sold items and two uncompleted trades were all I could find. While it's true that it's taking a long time for them to sell for 2 keys, it's also true that they're not trading hands to begin with. Two of the above buyout prices, both listed within the current range at 1.5 keys, have remained open for 4 days and a week.


        Similar to the unusuals, It's difficult to price an item accurately when it is exchanged rarely. I did the best I could with what I found, though your advice is taken.

          I'm still not sure about the 2 key high range, because there are so many unsold at 2 keys, as you have now proven, but I'll upvote because its better than the current price. I might open a suggestion tomorrow for 1-1.5 keys and see how it does, but either way thanks for doing research.

            Agree with you. If you suggest 1-1.5 please support it. Keep in mind most of his unsold links are just a day or 2 old.