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Buyouts mean nothing. Comparisons mean nothing. And what people say means nothing.
Go find proof of that 4 bud offer, until then, below is every offer made on it.
Orbiting Fire Cold Killer
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/7550039
--Erie P.E.
--Stormy Jeepcap
--Stormy bombing run+Untradeable juju
--Blizz YWN
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/7446366
--2 buds
--2.33 buds
--Smoking Headwarmer
--Knife stovepipe-1 bud
http://www.tf2outpost.com/user/161953
--Scorching Slouch (not sure about details)
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/7650449
--1 bud+Steaming hound dog
--NB Bomber
http://www.tf2outpost.com/user/27424
--Appears to have traded Burning handle for: Bubbles Ten gallon+OF Killer (not sure about details)
either way the eerie private eye is worth 3-3.5buds and that is a solid offer
Erie P.e. is listed @ 2.8-3.5, averaging to 3.2~. Factor in an unusual overpay and you get around 2.9-3.
ATM there is no reason for the high end to be above 3. Furthermore, one appears to have traded along with a bubbling 10 gallon for a burning handle. (which makes the killer into 2~ buds)
lol fake c/o. [OPST] Trololol doesn't even have 4 buds.
http://www.tf2items.com/profiles/76561198077840526
and your missing your link2
Check the other suggestion, one was just purchased for 5 buds. It's too early to set prices on all these new hats IMO.