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Seems to be getting some decent offers. I would suggest a range of 2.8 - 3.6, to cover all of the top offers on each trade on OP. Most people are looking for ~4 buds for this, but that's not happening. Best offer is a NB Team Captain.
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http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/6158843
B/O: 4 buds
Sold: No
Offers:
- Bubbling Noble (1.7 - 2.2) + 8 keys ---------->2.1 buds
- Smoking El Jefe (2.2 - 2.5 buds) ------------>2.3 buds
- 3 buds pure
Best offer: 3 buds
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http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/7604802
B/O: 4 buds
Sold: No
Offers:
- Orbiting Fire Barnstormer (2.8 - 3 buds)
Best offer: 2.8 buds
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/7551892
B/O: 4 buds
Sold: No
Offers:
- Nuts and Bolts Team Captain (3.6 - 4.1 buds)
Best offer: 3.6 buds
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2.8 - 3.6 sounds good to me. By the way, to factor in unusual overpay, I've chosen the lower end of the unusual price.
Some additional proof as i didn't see this when i was gathering, (although i think 3.6 is too high)
[2.6-3.2 seems like a much better range to me, the nb tc offer seems like an outlier based on all the other offers]
Ghost Crown
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/7604802
--Knife Panama+sweets (2.5+Sweets)
--Stormy AA+sweets (1.7+sweets)
--32 keys+ts bill+2 bills+10 keys in sweets (2.6)
--OF Barnstormer (?)
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/6158843
--b/o@4+sweets
--Bubbling noble+8 keys (2.2)
--Max+8 keys (2.33)
--smoking samureye (1.8)
--stormy head warmer (2.4)
--Smoking jefe (2.4)
--Peace tricorne+crate 40 (1.5)
--3 buds
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/7601874
--b/o@3.66
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/5249433
--steaming waxy (1.8)
--max (2)
--max+sweets (2+sweets)
--OF Reggae (1.7)
--smoking noble (2.2)
--1 bud+Ts bill+white bill+3 bills (2.65)
--max+sweets (2+sweets)
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/7551892
--b/o@4
--NB Tc (3.9)
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/6431935
--1+ month old, sold for 2.5~ (speculation)
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/7585890
--Sold for 32 keys+ts bill+2 bills+10 keys in sweets (2.6)
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/7522362
--Sold for Burning Handle-30 keys (2.2)
(not really sure how much faith i have in this one, the highest offer on the burning handle=2.5, highest offer on crown=3~, therefore the owner of the crown needs to add 1.2 buds--makes sense right?)
Haha I know what it feels like, I've got a whole suggestion for BF Fedora ready to go :3 If the other one gets rejected I'll put mine up.
The reason I chose 3.6 was because I didn't want to ignore the offer, but recognized that it could be considered an outlier. Therefore I chose the lower end price of the hat. The one with the 3.66 B/O convinced me that this was an acceptable higher range (IMO, of course).
Fair enough.
Also, Really gotta remember to check...especially because of how extensive my proof ends up being, such a waste of time :3
http://m.youtube.com/#/watch?v=STp1UtMrKR4&desktop_uri=%2Fwatch%3Fv%3DSTp1UtMrKR4
Never give up.