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Please note that the last accepted price for this hat was 4 months ago, and this is one of 2 being sold on outpost.
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/7745433
B/O of Smoking glove (1 bud)
C/O of 19 keys and Flies Fro (2 bills)
And you overlook the link i provided WHERE IT WAS SOLD FOR THE EQUIVALENT OF 30 KEYS. Nice.
Ever think that the 30~ key sale was an overpay and not actually respective of the actual price?
Not saying that it is, but it is possible.
Also, This one, has a b/o of 1 bud, which means it sold for 1 bud max.
Pssst it's called counter proof. I obviously looked at yours. I had a theory, but I could be wrong, but might as well tell you.
The previous owner on your link said it was sold for 26 keys + 4 holiday keys. The current owner offered 25 keys + S.BK.FL.MkII + Merc's Muffler, which equals 29 keys, and was hidden. Checking the current owner's backpack history (http://backpack.tf/id/76561198050449676?time=1356940800), it showed that he owned 25 keys and no holiday keys. Either the extra key and 4 holiday keys were not in his history for what ever reason, or the previous owner lied.
Unless you get a screen shot of one of their trade histories, we will never know.
OR the keys may have been bought later on to equalize the trade. That too is a possibility.
That's why I said this was just a theory. We don't have any proof, so none of us are right until it is justified with a trade history screenshot.