Anyway, down to business. This guy is hard as shit to research on OP where 90% of the sellers still think theirs is worth a bud. To find reasonable offers, instead search for buyers, where there are actually a surprising number of traders looking for any offers. 16 keys isn't really happening anymore, and in some links I provided some sellers are willing to part with their high-tier painted ones (lime, pink, white, black) for 15 or 14 keys, putting the actual value of the trade at around 14 or 13. I didn't include that number as a low because paint value can be left up to interpretation. 13 Keys for a plain BMOC is still offered in one of the threads, but it's such a rare occurrence that I didn't think it was indicative.

This is a highly traded item so if people want me to dig up some more proof (or if they want to dig up their own counterproof) feel free to ask.

Moar Evidence!

14 keys:

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/7400252 Sold at 14

Painted trades:

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/7372250 Gold sold for 16

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/7343685 Black sold for 15 (near bottom)

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/7390324 Gold sold for 14 + ref, Pink sold for 14 + ref

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/7576855 Sold for 15

No reasonable offers at 16 buyout:

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/7781833

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/7790962

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/7794927

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/7770751

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/7752697