Definitely needs to drop. There are enough unsold at 2 or 2.33 to call anything higher an outlier.

Unsold for 3 ref

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/7705020 - Unsold for 3 ref

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/7774893 - Unsold for 3 ref

Unsold for 2.66

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/7805463 - Unsold for 2.66

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/7646404 - Unsold for 2.66

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/7804210 - Unsold for 2.66

Sold/Selling for 2.33

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/7721602 - Selling for 2.33

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/7823764 - Selling for 2.33

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/7828103 - Selling for 2.33

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/7761391 - Selling for 2.33

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/7793771 - Sold for 2.33

Sold/Selling for 2 ref

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/7818537 - Selling for 2 ref

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/7820710 - Selling for 2 ref

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/7809965 -Selling for 2 ref

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/7824837 - Selling for 2 ref

Was thinking about 2 ref flat, but I try to be cautious, so 2 - 2.33 for now.