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is this based on anything?
yes but i forgot the link because i saw a guy sold it for 26 keys
That ain't proof, you gotta provide a link :) Also, one trade doesn't set the price.
In the words of Cleverpun 'One trade does not represent the entire market, regardless of how many they've sold'
Considering these will be discontinued soon, I don't see the prices falling. You have no proof either way.
[url]http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/7717293[/url] - offered a bud plus a crate #40
[url]http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/4508566[/url] - offered a bud+ 8 keys and a bud+ 5 keys+ 14 ref
Downvote
So much proof on this suggestion.
Looks like somebody really wants one!
1) You got weak to no proof
2) Hat is being dscontinued
=Downvoted