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Sold for 2.77 ref:
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/6929030
Selling for 3 ref:
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/7818384
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/7834790 (or a key)
Sold for 3 ref:
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/7072300
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/7769282
Selling for 1 key (unsold unless stated with offer):
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/7802901
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/7866537
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/7829431
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/7842447
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/7863252
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/7643914 (someone offered 3.33 ref and a deal was agreed but have not taken place)
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/7868890
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/7724632
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/7865008
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/7839333
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/7772247
Sold for 1 key:
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/7704836
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/7765424
Being offered 3 ref:
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/5305487
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/7190532
There are many more yet to be sold at one key (3.33 ref). Most buyers willing to offer up to 3 ref. Some are sold for a key but they valued keys at 3 ref (most probably sold at that price).
Also, I suggested the high end as 3.33 ref due to the average price of keys at the moment is 3.33 ref.
Try watching these go for a day, I've sold plenty for a key in the past. (A few recently.) All your trades are not even a day old, with minimal bumping on some.
that's the reason why I still suggest 3.33 ref (1 key) as the high end, because they still sell at that price. However, there are also many more remained unsold and buyers willing to offer up to 3 ref only. I take into consideration of the maximum price buyers are willing to offer. Take for example in the case of the El Jefe, Buyers are willing to offer up to the high end price (3.33). But in the case of the anger, I don't see anyone offering 3.33 or a key.
Edit: in addition, look at the classifieds (http://backpack.tf/classifieds/search/518/6/0) and you will notice that 5 angers (3 has been there for more than a day, 2 more (painted) still new so I don't count that) selling for a key remained unsold.
I'd suggest that you raise the range to 3.11 - 3.55, or 3.44, because keys can now be sold that price, and it doesn't take luck to do so. When I sell keys at 3.33, they sell out instantly, with many adds.
Now for some counter proof.
Sold for 1 key
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/7704836 - Within a day.
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/7708921 - Within a day and a half.
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/7724787 - Within a day and a half. (Check comments.)
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/7769282 - Pretty sure it was sold for a key. (Checking BP History.)
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/6749411 - Unknown sold date.
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/7413271
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/7499700
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/7856816 - Most likely sold for 1 key.
Sold above 1 key
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/6138884 - Sold for 1 key + 1 ref
Sold below 1 key
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/6929030 - 2.77 refined
Now lets look at some of your "counter proof":
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/7704836 (no proof that it was sold within a day)
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/7704836 (no proof that it was sold within a day)
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/7724787 (fair enough)
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/7769282 (he took keys as 3 ref, possibly sold for 3 ref unless proven otherwise)
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/6749411 (link is one month old)
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/7413271 (sold for 3 ref)
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/7499700 (2 weeks ago, unknown sold date)
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/6138884 (2 months old)
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/7856816 (unknown sold price)
Out of all the counter proof that you provided, only one can be proven that it was sold within a day and a half. The rest remains unknown. Also 2 was sold for 3 ref while some of the sale prices are unknown, the rest of the links are either 2 weeks old or a month old. Seriously....where's the counter in that?
Also, I wouldn't suggest the high end to be 3.44 because average key price is 3.33 ref. Even if you keys can be sold at that price, it really doesn't prove anything unless the price of key changes. Moreover, most ppl selling their angers take accept 3.33 ref in terms of keys, so I don't really see a problem here.
Link one: I didn't say that all were sold within a day, but this was my mistake. (I thought the seller sold it to the guy in the comments.)
Link two: I dunno why you have the same link up there twice. We'll just ignore link two, because you didn't put it up there.
Link three: ---
Link four: I'm not completely sure this was actually sold, but it may have been for 3 ref. You may be right.
Link five: Three comments down, there was an offer 5 days ago. The 1 key for Anger offer must've been recent, then. Not gonna assume, though.
Link six: What you said.
Link seven: 2 weeks old, but still sold. (Hey, that rhymes.)
Link eight: Okay.
Link nine: Whatever.
Boop.
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/6953262
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/6934263
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/6914700
Old, but they still sell for the same.
And about keys... http://tf2finance.com/keys/ - This is above 3.33 but below 3.44, so I would suggest the high end because keys are being sold for that price.
About key prices changing? http://backpack.tf/vote/id/50f2c637ba2536df5c000001 - Look how many people buy at 3.33.
At least this should be 3 - 3.44, because they are still being sold for that.
Not everything can be sold in a day or two, like dirty Front Runners.
About the additional link you added, since all three trades were a month old, lets not forget the fact that key prices were somewhere around 2.88-3 ref back then. So it was normal for the anger to be sold at 1 key.
Nowadays, with the key prices rising, its normal for ppl to be reluctant to buy them for a key, though some still manage to sell theirs, but there are lots more yet to be sold. Once again, I'm gonna stress this, which is why I place the higher end at 3.33 ref.
As for the changing key prices. Keys were easily sold at 3.33, 3.44 and even 3.66 (just bump for a few days). But that does not change the fact that the average key price as of now is still 3.33 ref due to the price range being 3.22-3.44 ref. I'm sorry, but I simply do not agree with the higher end of 3.44 ref. Of course, you could always open a new price suggestion if you're not satisfied with this higher end because you have the right to do so. No offense mate, I'm saying this in a good way to encourage ppl to bring up their own price suggestion if they think they have a point to prove. Its only for the better of the community :)
You have a point here but just want to say its like every thing is hard to sell these days all because key price
Yup, the suggested prices of items worth a key in backpack.tf remains that way even though key prices are constantly changing. Which is why an update is needed here.