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Unsold at 3 keys
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/7852962
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/7772487
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/6217985
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/6217985
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/7912881
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/6210556
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/7927997
Bought at 2 keys
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/7935252
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/7685231 Willing to buy for 2 keys
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/7456540 Bought a minigun
bought at~1.5 keys
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/7809956
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/7533416
maybe you are right , seems festive's set gonna down again
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/8063805
Umm. Put mine up today for 3.5-4 keys and sold it within 4 hours. http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/8074295. See comment at bottom. Got the guy to pay 8 keys + 1 ref for the 4. 8.33 - 1.5 (knife) - 1.5 (sniper) - 1.25 (flame) = 4 keys. So even if you value some of those other slightly higher, easily 3.5 keys.
the problem is that if the trade is still open it probably hasn't sold yet, or its not specifically for minigun and so people ignore it, I am looking for actual sales now, found this as of now: http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/7769293 (new) http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/6711817 (though this ones a bit old) bought for 9ref last week http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/8078646 offer of 2.5 keys: http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/5991311
conclusion: Should at least have a max of 2.5 keys, and if you wait you can sell for 3 keys, but like I said, its hard to find trades with a sale on it because after a sale the trade is normally closed. most sufficient proof for it being more than 2 keys is the first link. however as you can see by your links all of those are quickbuyers, backpack.tf's pricelist is not based off of quicksells. find at least 3 trades selling for 2 keys, if you are going to make that the high end. and I can then easily find trades that have declined offers of around 2 keys, as I already have found declined offers of over 2 keys. current price range should be 2-2.5 with possibility of 3, 1.5 is all quicksells, and now that I look upon it, they weren't real saleS after all! there was one for 5 ref and it took a week for someone to quicksell that low, but the other there was an offer of 2.5 keys a week ago.
I bought one for a key really easy on outpost. upvote.
Steam market prices are currently above 2 keys (converted) for the week. I think that means people are still buying it in the current range.
Steam market prices tend not to be accurate in the conversions to metal of how much people pay.
link 1 offered 2 keys