The odd trade may go through at 2.33, but it's fairly clear where the range is on this one. It's ridiculously easy to buy at 2 ref.

2.33 ref

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/8115658 - Unsold for 2.33

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/8038440 - Unsold for 2.33

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/8125575 - Unsold for 2.33

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/7769139 - Unsold for 2.33

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/7932061 - Unsold for 2.33

2 ref

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/8098940 - Unsold for 2 ref

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/8110814 - Unsold for 2 ref

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/8164535 - Selling for 2 ref

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/8158785 - Selling for 2 ref

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/7949480 - Selling for 2 ref

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/8075255 - Selling for 2 ref

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/8144554 - Selling for 2 ref

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/8159082 - Selling for 2 ref

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/8158205 - Selling for 2 ref

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/7992831 - Selling for 2 ref

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/8152303 - Selling for 2 ref

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/8129966 - Selling for 2 ref

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/8060275 - Sold for 2 ref

The reason there aren't more sold links is because of the Outpost update. There aren't many selling lower. 2 ref flat is the price for now.