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SUGGESTOR’S NOTE: Sorry, SpiffyDrummer, I did not realize that you had made this same suggestion 2 hours ago ([url]http://backpack.tf/vote/id/51059ac2ba2536253a000001[/url] ), otherwise I would have let you remake your suggestion! However, I spent those 2 hours researching, and I don’t want to have my proof go to waste. Cheers!
First off, let’s prove that sellers aren’t very successful selling, especially in the high end of the current price range:
UNSUCCESSFUL SELLERS (RECEIVED NO OFFERS):
[url]http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/7763368[/url] – 1 key (2 weeks old)
[url]http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/7688815[/url] – 3.00 (3 weeks old)
[url]http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/8159066[/url] – 2.88 (2 days old)
[url]http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/8154372[/url] – 2.88 (2 days old)
[url]http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/8021157[/url] – 2.88 (1 week ago)
[url]http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/8145159[/url] – 2.88 (3 days ago)
[url]http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/8223420[/url] – 2.77 (9 hours ago)
[url]http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/8178621[/url] – “backpack.tf prices” (1 day ago)
[url]http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/7902316[/url] – 3.00 (painted Violet) (1 week ago)
[url]http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/8077439[/url] – 2.44 (6 days ago)
[url]http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/8062728[/url] – 2.44 (6 days ago)
Now, the above people have some competition – quite a few sellers are selling for less than the current range – that is, less than 2.44:
SELLERS SELLING FOR LESS THAN CURRENT RANGE: (note: most are recent, hence not sold yet)
[url]http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/8237945[/url] – 2.33 (1 hour ago) – EDIT: NOW SOLD!
[url]http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/8232127[/url] – 2.33 (3 hours ago)
[url]http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/8184226[/url] – 2.33 (1 day ago)
[url]http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/8232979[/url] – 2.33 (3 hours ago)
[url]http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/8229337[/url] – 2.33 (5 hours ago)
[url]http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/8216920[/url] – 2.33 (16 hours ago)
Most importantly, this is a sample of what buyers are offering the sellers:
SELLERS WITH OFFERS:
[url]http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/8224105[/url] – wants 1 key, offer of Hazmat Headcase + 1.00 (~2.66)
[url]http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/8213046[/url] – wants “backpack.tf prices”, offer of 2.33 (12 hours ago)
[url]http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/8094859[/url] – wants 2.88, offer of 2.66 (1 day ago)
[url]http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/6288555[/url] – wants offers, offer of 2.44 (1 day ago)
[url]http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/7982368[/url] – wants “backpack.tf prices”, offer of 2.66 (1 day ago), offer of the Attendant + S. Tomislav (~2.66-3 + 0.33 => item overpay) (1 day ago)
[url]http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/8132963[/url] – wants offers, offer of Unique Pip-Boy (~1.66-2.00) (2 days ago)
[url]http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/8161338[/url] – wants offers, offer of 2.44 (1 day ago)
[url]http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/8189038[/url] – wants offers, offer of 2.00 (1 day ago)
[url]http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/8180831[/url] – wants offers, offer of 2.33 (13 hours ago) (note: buyer hid their own post)
On the flip side of the coin, buyers are similarly persuasive enough to get people to sell for 2.33 or less:
BUYERS WITH OFFERS:
[url]http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/8041155[/url] – WTB for 1.66, 1 add (4 days ago)
[url]http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/8028599[/url] – WTB for 2.11, 1 interested (5 days ago) (unfortunately, buyer is not currently buying)
[url]http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/8190289[/url] – WTT 1:1 with Cold Killer, 1 add (3 hours ago)
[url]http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/8071956[/url] – wants offers, 1 offer of 2.44 (2 days ago), 1 offer of 2.33 (6 hours ago)
Of course, while most people aren’t interested in this hat, occasionally you get lucky and find someone who really wants it. Here are some people who want to pay WAY more than the current range:
OUTLIERS:
[url]http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/8215963[/url] – WTB for 3.44, has 3 adds (all < 1 day ago)
[url]http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/8148430[/url] – WTB for 1 key
And my personal favourite:
[url]http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/8237814[/url] – WTB for Genuine Russian Rocketeer + Genuine Area 451 (~1.66 + 1.5-2 keys) (!!!)
As you can see, the above group does not represent the majority.
Conclusion? Most people want to pay between 2.33-2.66 for the hat, and some sellers are even only asking for 2.33. Hence, I am suggesting a price decrease.
Much better than "Let's not be specific, this thing has dropped in price"
Good job Kart.
That proof def doesn't deserve to go to waste. Great work, upvote from me.
Thank you for redoing this. I didn't know I'd cause such a hellstorm by putting "Let's not be specific." That was misinterpreted so much. Haha.