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Price is 6 months old and needs updating. I think 1.1-1.4 is generous. Only counting current offers from the last 2 weeks. Most of these are donators with trades that are getting constantly refreshed. Also basing my range on 2 that have documentation for what they were actually sold at plus 2 new B/O shown below. Not many offers on some of these trades that have been up for months.
Sold within the last 2 weeks:
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/8206319 - sold for 1 buds
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/8176736 - sold for 24 key unusual + 3 keys
Current Trades:
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/6068796 - No B/O (best offer 1.2-1.5 buds unusuals -flaming knot, bubbling headset + 20 ref)
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/8242382 - B/O of 1.25 (new on market, no offers)
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/8239140 - B/O of 1.3 (new on market, no offers)
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/8244024 - B/O of 1.44 (new on market, no offers)
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/7992511 - B/O of 1.6 (best offer of 1.2 buds in unusuals)
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/6962757 - B/O of 1.5 (only offer on the drill hat alone was a month ago)
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/8148032 - hard to tell on this one but possibly 3 buds for drill hat plus the hallmark? Maybe 1.4 buds for the drill hat?
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/8149278 - B/O of 1.6 (no offers in 3 days)
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/8105746 - B/O of 2 (no offers in 5 days)
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/7260187 - B/O of 1.5 (has some old offers but also a flies tavish degroot 4 days ago, which is now listed at 1.4-1.8 but is way outdated and is selling much lower than this).
Very thorough research. Good job!
upvoting [I was going to suggest myself as proof but I'm there already]