Burning Flames Handyman's Handle

After a bit of research, I've decided to reduce this slightly, despite there being one sold for 5 buds. I believe that that is an outlier, because there are no other offers over 3.5 buds, let alone 4.This gets plenty of offers around 2.8, but I can't find any over 3.5 in the last month.

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http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/7590303 - 3 weeks ago

B/O: 5 buds

Status: Unsold

Offers:

- 70 keys [2.8 buds]

- O Fire Company Man (2.5 - 2.9 buds) + SF Flame [3.3 buds]

Best offer: 3.3 buds

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http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/6621848 - 1 month ago

B/O: $115 (With $35 buds, that's 3.2 buds)

Status: Unsold

Offers:

- Bubbling Modest (3 - 3.9 buds) [3.1 buds]

Trade notes: Definitely duped.

Best offer: 3.1 buds

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http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/7694849 - 2 week ago

B/O: 5 buds

Status: Sold

Offers:

- Max's Head + O Fire Topper + Lantern Topi + 8 keys [5 buds]

5 buds

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http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/7965297 - 1 week ago

B/O: 3.6 buds

Status: Unsold (as part of a set)

Offers:

- 3 buds

Best offer: 3 buds

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/7761557 - 2 weeks ago

Traded for Vivid Plasma TPOH (2.9 - 3.6 buds)

3.1 buds

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Conclusion: Not sure about this myself, so please comment, whichever way you decide to vote. This is probably the most accurate price for now. One sold for 3.1 buds, and there are no offers over 3.3.