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To the comments with ye.
Why not six keys any more? Quite simply, it is exceptionally easy to buy one for five keys. Just look at the supply:
Unsold for five keys:
[url]http://backpack.tf/classifieds/search/Strange%20Festive%20Fr[/url] (Four there at the time of me researching this.)
[url]http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/8309455[/url] (Hi Liddo! :P)
[url]http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/8310009[/url]
[url]http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/8284461[/url]
[url]http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/8307936[/url]
[url]http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/7670353[/url]
[url]http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/8285338[/url]
[url]http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/8239372[/url]
[url]http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/7691657[/url]
[url]http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/8305567[/url]
[url]http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/8268418[/url]
[url]http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/8146788[/url]
[url]http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/8301480[/url]
[url]http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/8296432[/url]
[url]http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/8228895[/url]
There are also a heap of unsold ones for six keys but I figure that the unsold ones at five keys are sufficient here. If anyone would like me to list all of the unsold ones with higher prices then please feel free to make that request. All of the rest on Outpost are such trades so I won't object to doing so if it is desired.
What follows is a list of people trying to buy for less than or equal to the value of five keys. This list includes quick-sell buyers who are offering to pay significantly (at least four keys) as well as standard buyers. I am partly basing keeping the lower value at five keys too because quick-sell buyers are often offering four keys (and occasionally finding this successful so it may go lower in the next few weeks/months). I've mostly listed the quick-sell buyers at the top of the list (because that is the order that Outpost loaded them for me); the bottom half is full of the five-key offers.
Un-bought for the value of four to five keys:
[url]http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/8294036[/url]
[url]http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/8312758[/url] (Only an hour old.)
[url]http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/7256993[/url] (Has two in his backpack but at this stage I'll call this rare.)
[url]http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/8216126[/url]
[url]http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/8188591[/url] (None in his backpack.)
[url]http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/8267111[/url] (Buying for five keys.)
[url]http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/7361647[/url] (None in his backpack.)
[url]http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/7990607[/url] (Four in his backpack!)
[url]http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/8246830[/url] (None in his backpack.)
[url]http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/7741696[/url] (None.)
[url]http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/7952449[/url] (None.)
[url]http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/7928368[/url] (Fron Liddo's other trades I can see that he got at least one this way so I'm hoping that he'll eventually see this and add his opinion.)
[url]http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/8299205[/url] (One.)
[url]http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/7962176[/url] (Past trades indicate that he bought at least one.)
[url]http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/7462650[/url] (One.)
[url]http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/8232119[/url] (Two.)
[url]http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/7394352[/url] (None.)
[url]http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/8083793[/url] (None.)
[url]http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/8308042[/url] (Offering four keys and two reclaimed. He has none but it has only been a few hours.)
[url]http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/8287186[/url] (Offering four keys and one refined.)
[url]http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/7727313[/url] (Offering four keys and one refined.)
[url]http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/8170666[/url] (None.)
[url]http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/8301762[/url] (Offering four keys and two refined.)
[url]http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/8171932[/url] (Was offering four keys, two refined and two reclaimed but isn't buying right now.)
[url]http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/7375393[/url] (Five keys.)
[url]http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/8138767[/url] (Five keys.)
[url]http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/7161239[/url] (Five keys.)
[url]http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/8307130[/url] (Five keys.)
[url]http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/8264903[/url] (Five keys.)
[url]http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/7854219[/url] (Five keys.)
[url]http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/7630293[/url] (Four keys and two refined.)
[url]http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/7625145[/url] (Five keys.)
[url]http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/8182415[/url] (Strange Festive Axetinguisher.)
[url]http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/7488139[/url] ($10 in Steam monies.)
[url]http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/7336466[/url] (Five keys.)
[url]http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/7717648[/url] (Five keys.)
Again I will state that it is possible to buy these for lower but not incredibly likely because of the sheer volume of quick-sell buyers. Also there are people offering five keys so quick-sellers can get more.
Before anyone asks me why I'm not showing trades that have happened at five keys: The current value is 5-6 keys. I am simply pointing out that six keys is defunct. Also, there are plenty of sellers offering for five keys and there are also buyers offering five keys. Some time soon these will drop to 4-5 keys but at the moment there are still quite a few people on Outpost at least who are offering five keys so I believe that that should wait until they all buy. Feel free to criticise but please keep it constructive.
Dat wall of proof.
YOU SHALL NOT PASS! However, with all these proofs, surely the price suggestion will pass.
I've sold a good number of these at 5 keys. Sold one today also. You can list me as sold, I just havnt run out of them.
Seeing buyer trades at 5 keys makes me think 6 keys is possible.
But this will pass, all you need to show is a couple unsold ones to drop an item now.
It's because of the Outpost update (can we get that sorted out) that doesn't show sold trades -.-
Yea it's been making it easy to drop prices and harder to counter. There's been a good number of suggestions passed because of unsold ones.
I have been thinking about doing this for a few days but didn't get around to it today. How else can I convince you? :P
Therefore it is my job to convince you otherwise. I'm now going to attempt to do so with a very large list of the ones that are unsold for six keys and consider how long they have been listed for.
Most of these want six keys or about that. I'll specifically mention the ones that don't really count for anything because they have unrealistic buy-out prices for now.
Unsold and wanting more than five keys in value (with time that they've been available for in hours unless stated otherwise):
[url]http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/8305837[/url] (11)
[url]http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/7684116[/url] (3 weeks)
[url]http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/7676097[/url] (3 weeks but he wants Earbuds)
[url]http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/8291186[/url] (24)
[url]http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/8158837[/url] (6 days, Critical Kills attached and only wanting five keys plus one refined)
[url]http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/8311978[/url] (6)
[url]http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/8304865[/url] (12)
[url]http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/8260030[/url] (48)
[url]http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/8314841[/url] (2)
[url]http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/8230332[/url] (72)
[url]http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/8045878[/url] (week)
[url]http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/7920210[/url] (2 weeks but he wants more than he's going to be able to get)
[url]http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/8287400[/url] (24)
[url]http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/8136036[/url] (week)
[url]http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/8279869[/url] (24)
[url]http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/7673965[/url] (3 weeks, got offered five keys plus one refined but that was two weeks ago)
[url]http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/8265486[/url] (48... I kind of feel bad about finding this one.)
[url]http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/8312100[/url] (6)
[url]http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/7886355[/url] (2 weeks but wants seven keys)
[url]http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/8270404[/url] (48)
[url]http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/8311622[/url] (6)
[url]http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/8083010[/url] (week but wants seven keys)
[url]http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/8273494[/url] (48 but wants eight keys)
[url]http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/8307036[/url] (11)
[url]http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/7489486[/url] (month without selling for six keys)
[url]http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/8256318[/url] (48)
[url]http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/8250165[/url] (72)
[url]http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/7988659[/url] (week but never going to happen)
[url]http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/7777509[/url] (3 weeks but it looks like this one has actually sold one and got offered six keys for another)
[url]http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/8284416[/url] (24)
[url]http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/7908695[/url] (2 weeks, allegedly offered six keys a week ago)
[url]http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/7392333[/url] (month but wants seven keys)
[url]http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/7372838[/url] (month, allegedly offered seven keys but that offer can't be found and I really don't believe it)
[url]http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/7236135[/url] (month but wants fifteen keys)
[url]http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/7979555[/url] (week but wants eight keys)
[url]http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/8144055[/url] (144 but wants seven keys)
[url]http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/8263232[/url] (48)
[url]http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/8295712[/url] (23)
[url]http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/8288706[/url] (24)
[url]http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/8237761[/url] (72)
[url]http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/7406408[/url] (month but wants seven keys)
[url]http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/8314017[/url] (4)
[url]http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/8291289[/url] (24)
[url]http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/8150388[/url] (144 but wants seven keys)
[url]http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/8251158[/url] (48)
[url]http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/8172385[/url] (5 days, wants five keys plus one refined, almost succeeded three days ago but that buyer quickly came back and said "too late" so mustn't have had any trouble getting it for that or less)
[url]http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/8184958[/url] (120)
[url]http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/8240966[/url] (72)
[url]http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/8281241[/url] (24)
[url]http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/8071297[/url] (week)
[url]http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/8307154[/url] (11)
[url]http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/8272012[/url] (48)
[url]http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/8197452[/url] (96)
[url]http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/8308618[/url] (10)
[url]http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/8197909[/url] (96)
[url]http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/8137733[/url] (144)
[url]http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/8285821[/url] (24)
[url]http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/8230602[/url] (72)
[url]http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/8301948[/url] (15)
[url]http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/8304556[/url] (13)
[url]http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/8282039[/url] (24)
[url]http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/8110333[/url] (week)
[url]http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/8149719[/url] (144)
[url]http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/8243207[/url] (72)
[url]http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/8214210[/url] (96)
[url]http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/8179209[/url] (120)
[url]http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/8270480[/url] (48)
[url]http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/8297223[/url] (21)
[url]http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/8231556[/url] (72)
[url]http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/8273526[/url] (48)
[url]http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/8291422[/url] (24)
[url]http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/8252235[/url] (48)
[url]http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/8194572[/url] (96)
[url]http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/8307193[/url] (11)
[url]http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/8200283[/url] (96)
[url]http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/7944782[/url] (2 weeks)
[url]http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/8306964[/url] (11)
[url]http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/8301641[/url] (16)
[url]http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/8303751[/url] (14)
[url]http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/7845532[/url] (2 weeks)
[url]http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/7742135[/url] (3 weeks)
[url]http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/7802251[/url] (2 weeks)
[url]http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/8264382[/url] (48)
[url]http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/8276773[/url] (24)
[url]http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/8218801[/url] (96, just closed/sold now while I was making this list)
[url]http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/8161326[/url] (120)
[url]http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/8226178[/url] (72)
[url]http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/7977294[/url] (week)
[url]http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/8026467[/url] (week)
[url]http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/8199224[/url] (96)
[url]http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/8199171[/url] (96)
Out of all of these I did find 5 that potentially sold for more than five keys but with all of the others I still think that these are rare exceptions. I'll also just mention that my main evidence/reason for suggesting five keys is that there are multiple buyers and sellers offering such trades. This list of unsold Strange Festive Frontier Justices (mostly asking for six keys) is partly speculation/opinion: I'm hoping to convince readers that there is simply no need to pay six keys for one any more.
Thta wall of proof shall leave me speachless....upvote i didnt even read the wall of proof cause of the awesomeness
Here we go again lowballers of outpost and backpack.tf unite to fuck over more prices. (Seriously these bad boys should rise at price that is the only reason anyone cares to buy multiple of these bad boys cheaply)
Thank you for your complaint about my proposal to reduce your (and my) backpack's value by half of a key but it looks like you accidentally forgot to include your evidence. Please be kind enough to show me why my suggestion is incorrect.
Overstocked with the price of 62870c(14 ref = 4 keys) in TF2WH. Upvote.