Lantern Tossle (5.3-5.8)

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/7326281

--erie fez+planets ywn+1 bud (6.4)

--beams birdcage (5.9)

--6 buds+flies hallmark (7.6) (pretty big outlier)

--steaming ke+nb c billy (5.9)

--planets exec-1 bud (3.6)

--40 keys+30 ref+1 bud+lvl 100 tyro+SF RL+bmoc+SF buff+sweets (140+tyro)--(6.1?)

--stormy CM

--steaming tc (6.3)

--planets exec+1 bill (4)

--cloudy SnS (5.8)

--lantern hoodie (5.3)

--beams PE (4.3)

--clean black rose (5.5)

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/8281948

--lantern honcho (5.2)

--cloudy ushanka (6)

--150 keys (5.5)

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/7709996

--c bubbles hwnn (4.6)

--smoking ke (5.1)

--stormy tossle+3 buds (6.2)

--c bubbles milkman+steaming swagmans (5.7)

http://www.tf2outpost.com/user/144777

--appears to have traded for sparkling key (6.5?)

Its also worth noting that the Previous accepted suggestion had no proof behind it.