Price Suggestion
~7.28 ref
Strange Silver Botkiller Scattergun Mk.I
27 votes up
24 votes down
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This suggestion was accepted by Puddilicious.

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Comments

I have no idea how the last suggestion was passed. No proof or anything. http://backpack.tf/vote/id/511675c8ba25361f1b000002

However, I believe this item does need a slight price drop. Proof below.

ASKING 2 ref:

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/8465767

ASKING 2.33:

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/8500296

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/8522683

SOLD:

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/8503843 - Sold 2 at 2 ref in 1 day

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/8505577 - Sold 1 at 2.33 in around 20 hours

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/8479962 - Sold 1 in 1 day

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/8297658 - Sold 1 in 1 day (1 week ago)

UNSOLD @ 2.66

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/8443206 - 4 days

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/8274823 - 1 week

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/8279061 - 1 week

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/8502439 - 1 day+

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/8142768 - 2 weeks

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/8302208 - 1 week

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/8460690 - 3 days

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/8499758 - 1 day

Will add more proof as I find it, Outpost is being annoying and I have a scrim.

    Link 1 in the sold section doesn't seem to be sold at all, just saying. Going Neutral as I see around Outpost lots of people selling at 2 ref and unsold. But at the same time some are being sold and some at even more.

    Regarding your "SOLD" links, Link 1 has not sold any Silver Scatterguns. None of the people who added him have a Silver Scattergun that belonged to him. Link 2 looks good, but both links 3 and 4 still have the Scattergun in their backpack. As well, the guys who supposedly bought one off them have no Scattergun in their backpacks.

      ...You're right. I suppose I shouldn't do this while pressed for time.

      I'll leave the trade open, as it has more proof than the other current suggestion, and even if nothing is completely conclusive, it's better than nothing. But thanks for fact-checking for me.

    So... why was the last suggestion accepted? I looked into this a bit myself.


    Buyers:

    Buying for 3.66 and failing (!!) http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/8528367

    Buying for 2 and failing http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/8509872

    Buying for 2 and failing http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/8459000

    Buying for 2 and failing http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/8344767

    Buying for 1.66, bought 1 http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/8369277

    Buying for 1.33 and failing http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/8403192

    Buying for 1 and failing (there are a lot at this price and below, none successful) http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/7977860


    Sellers:

    Selling 1 key (there's a lot unsold here and above) http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/8377505

    Sold for 2.66 http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/8499517

    Sold for 2.66 (?), had a prior offer of 2.33 that was ignored http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/8130268

    Selling for 2.66, failing http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/8443206

    Selling for 2.66, failing http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/8502439

    Selling for 2.66, failing http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/8302208

    Selling for 2.66, received 'added for botkiller' but still has it http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/8279061

    Selling for 2.33, failing http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/8522683

    Selling for 2.33, received add 1 day ago, still has it http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/8479962

    Selling for 2.33, failing http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/8500296

    Sold for 2 http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/8417224

    Sold for 2 http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/8503843


    Did this item need a change? Yes. Should it have been lowered to 2 ref flat? Maybe. Should the minimum have been 1.77? No. Not nearly enough evidence for buyers below 2 ref- people are too willing to take them for 2 flat.

      Buyers:

      Link 1 is 3 hours old and he didn't specify Strange quality, so sellers won't be able to find him.

      Link 2 is 15 hours old and he didn't specify Strange quality, so sellers won't be able to find him.

      Link 3 looks good.

      Link 4 has been offline for 2 days and has a Silver Scattergun in his backpack.

      Link 5 supports the current price.

      Link 6 has one in his backpack. Either way, 1.33 is below the current price.

      Link 7 is below the current price.


      Sellers:

      Link 1 has not sold.

      Link 2 looks good.

      Link 3 is unsold and the 2.33 offer is a week old.

      Link 4 supports the current price.

      Link 5 supports the current price.

      Link 6 supports the current price.

      Link 7 has not sold.

      Link 8 supports the current price.

      Link 9 has not sold.

      Link 10 supports the current price.

      Link 11 has not sold. It would support the current price even if it had.

      Link 12 has not sold. It would support the current price even if it had.


      The only link you provided that disproves the current price is Link 3 of your Buyers' links. I'm not sure that's enough to disprove the price.

        Link 2 had one without strange parts which sold for 2.66, the one with parts has not sold and it was listed at 1 key. I couldn't find a single outpost trade selling or buying at 1.77- why should it be kept in the range? I don't think one trade for 1.66 is enough to justify 1.77-2 ref.

          I accepted 1.77 - 2 solely because 2 - 2.66 is less accurate.


          Both of the current price suggestions up now are more accurate than 1.77 - 2. I'm trying to decide which is the most accurate.


          The problem is that these aren't too hard to find at 2 refined, but then there's contradicting pieces of evidence like the one buyer who can't get one for 2 ref and the two sellers who sold it for 2.33 and 2.66.