Suggestion: Strange Holiday Punch at 2–2.4 keys

The current price is 3 keys, so why are you listing Punches asking more than 3 keys as evidence? Your one legitimate piece of evidence is 8 hours old as well.

Here's some evidence that actually supports your price:

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/8227689 3 keys, 2 weeks old

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/8339464 3 keys, 1 week old

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/8462081 3 keys, 4 days old

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/8461595 3 keys, 4 days old

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/8507449 3 keys, 2 days old

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/8500893 3 keys, 2 days old

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/8510953 2.5 keys, though he's temporarily banned for spamming

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/8539697 2 keys

~~no sellers at all at 2, why the 2 keys then? why not just 2.5 flat?~~

nvm, but you have a lot of useless links.

I've been buying for 2 keys for a while, only got 2 pair. 2 keys as a low is a little premature I think.

I was thinking of making a similar suggestion myself a while back, but didn't have enough time to find a good body of proof due to the significant number of unsuccessful long-term 3-key sellers.

I managed to purchase one with the fairly expensive Heavies Killed part on it for 1 key 2 ref, and I've seen other successful buyers below 2 keys, although I have seen some sales at slightly above 2 keys as well. As such, I think the range you suggested is good for now.

Overall, upvoted due to good proof and solid reasoning. Well done, particularly for your first suggestion.

I don't see this as good proof at all. Show me 2 key sellers first, I don't go by quicksellers, they give up so easily.

2.5 Sellers

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http://tf2tp.com/trade.php?trade=9127208 - 2 keys + 2.00

http://tf2tp.com/trade.php?trade=9125723 - 2.5

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/8471937 - 2 keys + 2.00

I do not see any real seller going for 2 keys, especially when 2.5 sells pretty well.

I'm going to counter your poll