Price Suggestion
The Lugermorph
Submitted by Grim
~250 keys
Unique Lugermorph
293 votes up
105 votes down
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Comments

The craziest price suggestion I've ever done, but do have a look:


Selling for 0.66 ref:


http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/8621609


Selling for 2 ref:


http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/8620161

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/8616292

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/8611714 (or might be higher)

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/8111775

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/8583544

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/8529663


Selling for 3 ref:


http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/8571896


Selling for 1 key:


http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/8591220

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/8588285


Being offered 2 ref:


http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/7974033

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/8526680 (rejected, wants 2.55 ref)

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/8239138

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/6602710

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/8538962


Being offered 1 key (and above):


http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/7621672 (1 key offer, another offer of a vintage tyrolean o.o)

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/8553755

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/8009150 (2 keys o.o)

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/7829453

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/7437233 (4 weeks ago)

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/5403983 (2 months ago)

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/8377002

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/8226888


Conclusion: With crazy prices and offers, I would've placed the price range at 1-3 ref but that wouldn't be logical at all. Most offers fall in the region of 2 ref and also 1 key at the same time. 2-3.66 is also absurd so in the end, after a thinking hard for a long time, 2-3 ref as a range seems more suitable in this case. I know the range is big, but this is currently happening.

    Price currently seems way low and I know when I bought that ol' PN@TI and sold mine not that long ago, it went for a key plus wrap fairly quickly. Got my upvote.

      Sufficient proof. Gets my upvote. Any one else agree?

        I do, upvoted.

      There have been a lot of idiots who actually waste their money gift wrapping this stuff instead of just getting PNatI

        Pardon my stupidity, but what's PNatl?

          Poker Night - at the lounge

            Oh yeah, thought it was some other weirdass way of trading something.

              Poker Night at the Inventory. I wish they wouldn't make a lower case L look like a capital I.

                lol thanks for correcting me, I didn't notice that

                *at the inventory

            All the offers of over 2 ref were made a while ago by a few people who have since bought a luger already... and the two key luger buyer is most definitely an outlier. With so many not yet selling for 2 ref, I don't think 3 ref should be the high range...

              it's true that there are some still yet to be unsold at 2 ref. However people are selling this items at various prices (even 0.66 ref). If 3 ref couldn't be the high range, then what about all the 1 key offers on this item? I don't think there's actually a stable price for this item and we can't look at it as a normal item. There were various offers being thrown around and we somehow still have to consider them.


              The reason why I suggested 2-3 ref is because even though it did not cover the key price (its rather absurd to suggest 2-3.55 ref too), but since majority of the offers are either 2 ref or 1 key, even the current range of 1-2 ref is inaccurate. If I were to suggest 2 ref flat, it will also ignore the fact that the 1 key offers do exist. o.o


              also, Glort commented that he recently sold his for 1 key + rep fairly quickly.

                Some of the 1 key offers are pretty old... so if we get rid of the outliers, then the middle price falls around 2 ref IMO


                EDIT: Yes I meant ref... this is what happens when you have multiple suggestions open at once =.=

                  I think you meant 2 ref lol.


                  So if thats the case, what do you suggest the price to be? (taking into consideration that Glort recently sold his for 1 key). Because its rather hard to fairly price this and the only offers available ranges from days to weeks to months. @__@

                    These things do sell pretty slowly, and I'm not a huge fan of increasing the price of this item by twofold when the majority of trades can still happen at 2 ref. I think a price of 2 ref would be best, but I'll let you or another mod decide on the outcome of this suggestion.

                      okay, I'm gonna do a bit of research on this this again too. Thanks for your help!

              Just to clarify abit more on the proofs:


              http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/8620161 - inactive trade, rarely bumped

              http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/8583544 - inactive

              http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/8529663 - inactive

              http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/8611714 - might be selling for more, inactive

              http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/8591220 - inactive

              http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/8588285 - inactive

              http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/8526680 - inactive

              http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/5403983 - inactive


              http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/7974033 - being offered 3 ref just 2 weeks ago

              http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/8553755 - 1 key offer was just 3 days ago

              http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/8009150 - 2 key offer was 1 day ago

              http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/7829453 - 1 key offer 1 week ago

              http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/7437233 - THE LUGER WAS SOLD for approx 1 key

              http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/8620161 - 2.11 ref, had a willing buyer already 22 hours ago)

              http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/8377002 - could initially sell it for 1 key but decided to ask for more.

              http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/8226888 - was offered a key but retracted.


              The amount of inactive trades meant that the trades that was selling at 2 ref are actually capable of selling it off at that price, but since they were inactive, none of the the lugers were sold in the end.


              by the way: http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/8644312 giving it away for free if you have wrap, go get it!

              link 1 and 2 both selling for 2 rec

                yes, yes, we know. I already noted that in my proofs.