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No proof available for Peace Sign or Logo, but they should not be this far spaced apart unless I'm missing some God like theme here. None on tf2outpost, this is more a grouping and putting in order suggestion.
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/7981136
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/7970879
And now do your research.
um, how does one look up past trades? I know, stupid question.
http://www.unusual-hat-search.com/
search here for the hat, click on the owners steamrep profile. click on their outpost profile, hope for some trades
Both closed with no sale, no promo offers, not real proof, both asking for 2 buds on a bad hat with unfitting effect.
The got older selling trades too. Past sales on them? They got it somewhere.
Both month old trades, think about it, anything past that may as well be irrelevant, seeing as the unusual market can shift from week to week at times.
And now apply logic.
So you have just tier comparison to back your suggestion up.~ Not enough to upvote imo, I will stay neutral then.
Well, the two links show next to zero interest besides a lower unusual offer, and that was over a month ago. Can you think of any reason this should be much higher than logo when they are normally coupled together?
I already stated my opinion. ;)
How could I be wrong if I'm neutral? :-O
I know, and I was just telling you why I think you may be wrong.
Wrong because there is more to go on than just tiers, thanks to your links, you showed this gets no where near what it currently is priced at, heck, in a month, two of them got 1 offer.
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/8655122
Haha see what happened.
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/7546330
Anyway the last time this hat got sold was for 1 bud + 10 keys = 36-37 keys at that time.
Posted an hour ago, tends to sell for less than B/O which is 1.5, severe price cut it looks like
Also, over a month ago, quicksell again because of bp.tf, again with time that's passed AND you already posted the guy it had been traded to, the trade he closed with one unusual offer on it, so you should check what you post before doing so, he didn't even close to his B/O.
Thanks for your support in all this, the links really help my suggestion.
I just found it funny that one of the owners decided to put this back on the market right after you opened your suggestion.
I still think a fair price would be something with 36 keys at the high end because the last owner paid that much.
And you should have provided some of those links yourself from the beginning *cough*.
Sorry, but I prefer to use more up to date evidence, as month old and closed trades are widely regarded as pointless. *cough*
Up to date evidence? There is none. A guy got 1 offer in 2 weeks is not enough evidence to bump it down half a bud. Also the last price was set ~8 months ago so every trade that is never than that could be considered.
Therefore the single offer in the past month must be the sole piece of sale evidence, which is a 1.2 unusual, so factor in unusual overpay as usual. Also supportive of this new price is general lack of interest in it, no other offers, none in pure. So with a distinct lack in evidence we must look to some other factor to help decide a price. It's twin unusual, tf logo, which in general is considered slightly more popular due to its relevance sets a lower bench mark. A saving grace would be a possible theme, but there is no theme I can see. Couple that with the fact that one just went back up for 1.5 B/O instantly suggests this should be lower than the current top price, and rarely do low end unusuals reach their B/O unless quick selling.
So altogether we have an unusual that has 1: Little to no interest. 2: Closest to being relevant offer is a 1.2 unusual. 3: It's slightly favored twin is p/ced lower, despite no real factor to suggest it should be and 4: Just reopened a trade with a lowered B/O after a extended period of zero offers. All this combined points to a considerable price drop.
We can't price by tier comparisons, because that alone is not proof. The 1.5 BO price means the old price is a bit high, but last time this hat was traded was for 37 keys, so that should still be in the range. We can't let lowball offers dictate price, unless the seller takes the offer. Then we have proof that a hat is worth similar to another hat. Also, one month is not a very long time for an unusual to sell. Anyway, this suggestion is much too low for my tastes, since there is no proof anyone is willing to sell it for 24 keys