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Outdated price. 4 months old.
Link 1: http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/8374575
Was sold for 3.5 keys.
Link 2: http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/8655042
Unsold at 4 keys for a couple days.
Link 3: http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/4566076
Unsold at 4 keys for at least a month, a couple offers closer to 3 keys a month ago on this trade.
Link 4: http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/8676370
Unsold at 3 keys.
Link 5: http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/8647713
Unsold at 3 keys.
Link 6: http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/8664056
Unsold at 3 keys.
Link 7: http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/8409669
Unsold at 4 keys for 1 week.
This item seems to have lost some of its popularity. It has definitely lost some of its value as well, with some unsold trades at 3 keys. What can be known for sure is that the upper range of 4 keys is incorrect after 4 months, so I suggest this lower range in order to right that wrong. Thanks for reading.
Link 8: http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/8618394
Sold at 3 keys + 1.66 ref after a significant period of time, suggesting that the current range is incorrect.
3 days is a significant period of time?
Yes it is, especially for selling at the lower than the bottom of current range.
Interested buyer at 4 keys: http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/8033140
Appears to have sold for "high backpack.tf price [4 keys]": http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/7923340
Hasn't sold for 3, but also hasn't been online and hasn't been bumped: http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/8705302 Same seller as your fourth link.
Your 6th link: Has an interested buyer. The seller isn't online at the moment however.
I'd say demand for this hat is still there. I don't have screenshots to verify this claim, but while trying to sell this hat for 4 keys in a trade server, someone was interested in buying it, but he said he didn't have enough keys.
1st line: no posts after 6 days
2nd line: where do you get that conclusion, no posts in the trade has an offer of 4 keys
3rd line: If there was demand there for this item, people would be looking for sellers, and therefore it would have been bought.
4th line: that was after i submitted this suggestion, and also it's still sold at 3 keys after a day
5th line: that's like saying i want to buy a burning tc, but i don't have enough buds to afford it. also, how does that represent that the demand is still worth the current range? it doesn't.
1st line: The point is he had an interested buyer
2nd line: Guy greyed it out in the trade, doesn't have one in his BP.
3rd line: How do you trade with someone who's offline?
4th line: Doesn't matter if it was after you submitted the suggestion, it shows people want it. And again, how do you trade someone who's offline?
5th line: Was a bit irrelevant, but think of it like this: If he wasn't willing to pay 4 keys, he wouldn't have said anything.
a week is a long time to wait for a buyer.
doesn't mean he sold it for 4 keys.
people would have posted on the trade.
it was unsold when i posted this suggestion, thus suggesting a lower price
that's the same thing as a friend making a fake C/O for you on a hat