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The Genuine Awper Hand is seeing a slight increase in price. Too many offers of 1 key (through trades/offers) are flooding the market.
Trades buying for one key THAT HAVE NO APPARENT SALES:
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/8798390
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/8794433
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/8808447
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/8800218
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/8765142
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/8801640
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/8780115
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/8797977
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/8743937
Offers of 1 key that have been REJECTED
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/5306787
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/8706002
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/7772137
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/8756086
http://bazaar.tf/trade/133794
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/5208446
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/5208384
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/6244631 (3.77)
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/7634168
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/8506349
Trades that have offers of more than 1 key
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/6095499 (offer of 4 refined- 2nd to last post)
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/7772137 (multiple buyers)
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/6922974 (buyers)
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/5286805 (1 key .66)
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/8769055 (buying for 1 key .33)
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/8572421 (4 ref)
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/8690671 (5.44)
Granted, some people are able to buy at 1 key. However, ones that are SELLING for 1 key, and have a trade open are snatched up ridiculously quick.
Due to all the rejected 1 key offers and trades, I feel that this range is appropriate. The 3.88 is supposed to represent the sales done at 1 key (give or take a scrap), and the 4.11 is representing the sales done at 1 key +.33 to 1 key .66 (some have been bought at 1 key 1 ref, but this seems to be the average).
The steam market average (2.63) is well above the key price average (2.23). I understand this is somewhat irrelevant, but it does show that people are willing to pay nearly a ref more than a key. The average buying price for the awper would come out to be around 1 key 1 ref (keys going by 2.23, ref by .34).
Seems solid, upvoted.