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http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/8069581 month old, best offer 1 bud and 14 keys
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/6491665 3 months old, a few 2 bud offers (all retracted and very old) but mainly 1.5 bud unusuals
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/8639466 40 keys
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/8792126 Orb Fire Tavish (1.4 buds)
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/8595026 Bubbles Honcho (1.3)
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/6639199 Stormy Scotch and 7 keys (1.4 buds about)
Basically 1.3 to 1.6 is the norm being seen for this hat.
oh the woes of being a blizzardy collector. Yea, i would say this is about accurate.
Sorry about this mate :P
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/8792126 -sold for bud +4 keys http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/8623419
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/8397614 - sold for blizz snaggle (1.5-1.9 buds, outdated price though)
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/8245370 - sold for lvl 1 max head
Most likely the max head sale was lucky, other offers and the most recent trades seem to fall within this price