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1 of 1 known to be in the wild.
http://stats.teamfortress.org/item/514/The_Mask_of_the_Shaman
Looks Like Current Owner paid 3-Buds + Strange Festive Minigun (26-28 Keys)
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/8259933 (3 Weeks Old)
Actual trade date range is Feb 3rd to Feb 4th where you can see the historical changes in their backpacks.
Current owner's trade
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/8457087
7-Bud offer from Bob the Tyrolean Lover (Has 2-Buds + Ghosts Tyroleon). Looks to be banking on selling that for 5-buds to make the 7-Buds.
Sunbeams Drill Hat (5.5-7 Buds). Not sure how legitimate this offer is as he doesn't mention where he received it and its not listed in the trade.
Suggesting the current range as its a confirmed sale and the others are just offers at the moment. Its not often we can track trades of 1 of 1 items this closely, so I thought we better at least get a good base and if it sells for 7-buds down the road we can adjust at that time.
How do you know it was sold for 3 buds + S.F. Minigun? Also Someone offered a Stormy Shaman which is 5.6 buds and a Stormy BB which is 4.6 buds. I feel as though this should be higher.
Go to that past trade. If you go down to the long discussion between the previous owner and the current owner you can see the offer form and finalize. Then if you look at their backpack history between the two date ranges that I provided above you can see the change in value and those specific items.
Is it worth more based on the offers? Probably. Being a 1 of 1 item I am hesitant to set a price based off of an offer because of how easy it would be to manipulate value with alt accts and friends. Just my thoughts.
But still, you can't just disregard that 5.6 offer Maybe, IMO, 4.5-5.5? Other than that, proof seems to be good. And I was thinking of doing this just last month and none was in the market so I just decided to give up. I'm just glad someone with real proof suggested the price.
Yeah, I figured we better jump on it while the proof is out there. Initially my instincts were to put 4-5 buds, but I was worried that people would be concerned over the low end being the last sale that was just 3-weeks ago. Thank you for the insight, I will close this and repost if the response seems positive in that direction. I'm also not adverse to you creating a suggestion at that range if you like, that way people can have two perspectives on it.
I just figured that maybe the 5.6 is an outlier. So maybe 3.5-4.5 would be good. And I'll leave it up to you if you want to resuggest or not, I would do it myself, but you provided the proof and I don't want to steal that proof no do I? :P