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This is my counter suggestion with proof of sales to this suggestion:
http://backpack.tf/vote/id/512d366d4bd7b86a4600000a
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/5881550 SOLD for:
Bubbling hound dog, 1 buds, balaclavas are forever bills and 5 keys (~2.4)
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/7812294 SOLD for:
-Stormy lid (~2.7 at that time)
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/8671251
-Refused 2 buds
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/7728546
-Refused 2 buds
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/7922552
-Refused 2 buds
-Refused 52 keys
Centering the new range on 2.4 buds. This range appears to be fair to both the buyers and sellers based on the recent sales I could find and the refused offers.
Just so you know, the bubbling hound offer did not include buds. read the comments in the trade as it states the buds are not included in the offer therefore significantly slashing the price. This is actually a approx. price since I am sure sweets were added to the deal. So please adjust your proof accordingly to show buds were not included in that deal and the sales was below 2.4 buds.
They were taking about this trade:
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/7554547
He actually added minor sweets to the offer listed above.
Buyer before:
http://backpack.tf/id/76561197974352167?time=1356854400
After: http://backpack.tf/id/76561197974352167?time=1357113600