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This hat needs an update.
I was the owner of this hat for a month and 3 weeks and this was the only one on the market throughout the whole time I had the hat (as far as I know).
[url]http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/7650622[/url]
There weren't a ton of offers on it but the offers I received were in the ~3.5 bud range.
Some of the more notable offers were:
Blizzardy Flamenco + Steaming Hard Top
Stormy Storm Flamenco + Portal 2 box + 10 keys
Stormy Hallmark
Steaming Wraith Wrap
Knifestorm Big Chief + Steaming Barnstormer
Smoking Bubble Pipe + 1 bud + sweets (few keys)
Orbiting Fire Brown Bomber
No offers worth mentioning from TP.
Oh yeah, I ended up selling this hat + 10 keys + 4 refined for a Blizzardy Storm Modest.
Last 2 sales (excluding yours)
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/6277054 - sold for 4 buds (+ sweets)
And you got it 1:1 for a lantern drill (~4.5, but that could be wrong too)?
I know it's hard to sell a unwanted halloween effect/hat but maybe you should suggest a bit higher. Only my opinion though and your suggested price is way better than the current one.
I believe it's been about 2.5 months since the first sale was actually sold. Since then, halloween effects has been harder to sell and I have not gotten any promo offers on the hat during the time I had it. I got rejected 4 buds quite a few times (from TP a while back so I don't know if I can provide evidence and in servers. I don't believe I offered the hat on outpost for 4 buds). As for the Lantern Drills, I traded it for the Merryweather + SF Holy Mackeral + Kringle (about 7.5 keys in sweets during that time). Which means it got traded for slightly above 4 buds in unusuals + items. (If you want proof of this, I can take a screenshot.) Since then, I don't believe halloween effects are able to hold their value as they once did before.
Alright, I thought that sweets were involved in your deal. Sure upvote now.^^