TRADE 1: [url]http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/8861130[/url]

Offers:

- Stormy Storm Salty Dog (listed at ~2.7)

- 2 buds + 1 black bill's + 2 keys (listing ~ 2.6-2.7)

TRADE 2: [url]http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/8644237[/url]

Offers:

- 2 buds (1 wk old)

- 2 buds (2 days old)

- 2 buds... plus 10 keys C/O

TRADE 3: [url]http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/8381651[/url]

Offer:

- Stormy Salty Dog (Listed ~2.7) C/O

TRADE 4: [url]http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/8678121[/url]

Offers:

- THE SAME STORMY SALTY DOG (Listed at ~2.7)

- 2 buds + 20 keys

- Strange Festive Bat + Smoking Scotch Bonnett (Listed at ~2.1 buds altogether)

- 2 buds flat

So, what does this tell us?

A heck of a lot, thats for sure.

FIrst off, based on the offers, this thing looks to have to be lucky to hit 3 buds. Most of the offers, even unusual offers (let us keep in mind these are usually overpays) don't hit over 2.5 buds. Which is substantially lower than the current price listing. The highest concentration of offers appears to be around 2.2 buds. There are some outliers sitting way up at around 2.7, but most are hitting just over 2 buds.

This thing might, if an irrational person comes along, hit 3 buds in a quickbuy. However, most offers are nowhere near that magic number (3). We can't really say that its worth up to 3.2 buds if barely any offers exceed the current minimum(2.7). For this reason, I propose a pretty drastic drop in this thing's price. Based off what our visible offers are, the demand for this item does not give it a price as high as 3 buds. 2.7, the current minimum, however, is still reached on occasion.

If you have any more evidence hidden away, please share! All evidence is appreciated in discussions! :-)

Please note; No previous sells of this hat included in evidence, as I couldn't find any that had definite proof of the c/o and what they sold for. If you have proof on this, please do share! ;-0